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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +59.65₴

Invest 233.71₴

Average return 293.37₴

ROI +25.5%

Chance of profit 62%

With float: invest at least 599.61 ₴, profit at most −306.24 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

201.67 ₴

at 22.41

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

32.05 ₴

at 32.05

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 233.71 ₴ +59.65 (+25.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P90 | Facility Negative

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1684

7.87 ₴

at 7.87

Steam

×6

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

134.44 ₴

at 22.41

Steam

×1

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

27.60 ₴

at 27.60

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

64.10 ₴

at 32.05

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 234.01 ₴ +26.83 (+11.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

P90 | Facility Negative

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

15.74 ₴

at 7.87

Steam

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

89.63 ₴

at 22.41

Steam

×1

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

27.60 ₴

at 27.60

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

96.15 ₴

at 32.05

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 229.11 ₴ +15.47 (+6.8%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 32%
Losing outcome 38%
About break-even 30%

in profit

best

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.067307

545.72 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.094230

253.23 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134615

269.27 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.080769

79.59 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134615

85.29 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

404.77 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.067307

224.44 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.208653

51.18 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +11.47 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +50.30 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2052060 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 63.77₴ · invest 219.14₴
rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077272 instead of 0.074475
Craft 2052045 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 63.63₴ · invest 227.52₴
M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.074475
Craft 2052469 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 63.21₴ · invest 220.92₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.074475
Craft 2052007 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit 62.92₴ · invest 227.60₴
rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.074475
Craft 2052392 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 62.10₴ · invest 219.85₴
Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077272 instead of 0.074475
Craft 2052379 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 60.20₴ · invest 236.96₴
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.074475
Craft 2052409 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 60.10₴ · invest 231.32₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.074475
Craft 2052272 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Lake Collection · profit 59.10₴ · invest 222.28₴
SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074837 instead of 0.074475
Craft 2052351 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 58.31₴ · invest 226.39₴
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077194 instead of 0.074475
Craft 2052149 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 57.83₴ · invest 232.17₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077274 instead of 0.074475

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build