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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +653.30₽

Invest 1 013.18₽

Average return 1 666.48₽

ROI +64.5%

Chance of profit 60%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 2 462.27₽ · profit at most −795.79₽ (−32.3%) · chance of profit at most 30%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) × 4 10% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 169.28 → 400.35 ₽

MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New) × 5 10% of the wear range fits at least ×2.47 771.30 → 1 905.11 ₽

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) × 1 10% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 72.60 → 156.82 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

+ a third collection

How to build

10% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 10% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0777

169.28 ₽

at 42.32

Steam

×5

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0068

771.30 ₽

at 154.26

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0068

72.60 ₽

at 72.60

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 013.18 ₽ +653.30 (+64.5%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

at a loss

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

1 030.69 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

3 848.54 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 277.08 ₽ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

691.74 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

699.54 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +411.62 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +523.29 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 28 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2052354 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 720.06₽ · invest 979.58₽
sells slowly rare inputs

MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074233 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.003704 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2051174 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2018 Nuke Collection · profit 697.58₽ · invest 1 007.99₽
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075056 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.004424 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2052223 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 673.34₽ · invest 1 017.71₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2052318 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 672.23₽ · invest 994.77₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2052458 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 671.84₽ · invest 981.84₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2052042 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 668.27₽ · invest 989.41₽
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2052035 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 667.86₽ · invest 970.06₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076086 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.005326 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2052342 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 667.38₽ · invest 994.03₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076129 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.005363 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2051950 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 666.41₽ · invest 1 016.74₽
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077688 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006727 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2052118 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 664.88₽ · invest 1 001.11₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New)
Craft 2052072 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 663.61₽ · invest 966.81₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076388 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.005590 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2052163 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 663.31₽ · invest 984.13₽
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076267 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.005483 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2052408 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 662.84₽ · invest 996.58₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2051988 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 662.44₽ · invest 973.90₽
sells slowly rare inputs

MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077688 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006727 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2052050 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 662.35₽ · invest 1 016.41₽
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2052378 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 660.16₽ · invest 1 007.23₽
sells slowly rare inputs

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2052092 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 659.16₽ · invest 961.08₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077656 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006699 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2052477 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 657.58₽ · invest 984.52₽
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2052136 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 657.16₽ · invest 968.95₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New)
Craft 2052444 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 656.81₽ · invest 1 027.91₽
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2052250 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 656.29₽ · invest 966.94₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077776 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006804 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2052146 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 655.15₽ · invest 998.19₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077779 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006807 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2051868 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Achroma Collection · profit 653.99₽ · invest 1 005.53₽
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077736 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006769 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2052496 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 652.83₽ · invest 1 017.53₽
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New)
Craft 2052468 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 651.89₽ · invest 976.94₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2052350 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 650.69₽ · invest 987.27₽
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077688 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006727 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2052057 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 650.31₽ · invest 973.58₽
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New)
Craft 2052006 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit 648.96₽ · invest 989.57₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Harlequin Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build