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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Italy Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +53.68₴

Invest 231.40₴

Average return 285.08₴

ROI +23.2%

Chance of profit 60%

With float: invest at least 594.60 ₴, profit at most −309.51 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

9% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

201.67 ₴

at 22.41

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Full Stop

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

29.73 ₴

at 29.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 231.40 ₴ +53.68 (+23.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 60%

in profit

best

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

545.72 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.097999

253.23 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

269.27 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Pit Viper

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.138799

73.76 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Italy Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Italy Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +7.65 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +45.01 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Italy Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2052052 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 57.16₴ · invest 241.82₴
rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.077194
Craft 2052121 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 56.95₴ · invest 233.72₴
UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077272 instead of 0.077194
Craft 2051952 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 56.47₴ · invest 241.99₴
P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New)
Craft 2052563 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 54.50₴ · invest 274.02₴
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074390 instead of 0.077194

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Italy Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build