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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Safehouse Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +115.37₽

Invest 48.18₽

Average return 163.55₽

ROI +239.4%

Chance of profit 60%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 114.33₽ · profit at most +49.22₽ (+43.0%) · chance of profit at most 45%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 5.10 → 11.02 ₽

SCAR-20 | Contractor (Minimal Wear) × 5 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.47 13.60 → 33.59 ₽

Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Factory New) × 4 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 29.48 → 69.72 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

+ a third collection

How to build

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

UMP-45 | Facility Dark

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

5.10 ₽

at 5.10

Steam

×5

SCAR-20 | Contractor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

13.60 ₽

at 2.72

Steam

×4

Tec-9 | Army Mesh

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

29.48 ₽

at 7.37

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 48.18 ₽ +115.37 (+239.4%)

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×2

UMP-45 | Facility Dark

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

10.20 ₽

at 5.10

Steam

×5

SCAR-20 | Contractor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

13.60 ₽

at 2.72

Steam

×3

Tec-9 | Army Mesh

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

22.11 ₽

at 7.37

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 45.91 ₽ +102.51 (+223.3%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 38%
About break-even 2%

in profit

AUG | Condemned

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

349.38 ₽ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | VariCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

67.36 ₽ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | VariCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

17.83 ₽ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M249 | Gator Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

14.44 ₽ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Orange Peel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

373.57 ₽ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Forest Leaves

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

410.26 ₽ 15.00%

Steam

about break-even

Galil AR | Cold Fusion

Factory New

float up to 0.011216

53.46 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Mainframe

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

23.78 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Motherboard

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

23.20 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

Negev | Bulkhead

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

25.66 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Safehouse Collection

Variant 2 The Train Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 3 only The Safehouse Collection Variant 4 The Lake Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 5 The Dust 2 Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 6 The Overpass Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +81.49 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +106.84 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Safehouse Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2051692 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 121.81₽ · invest 46.67₽
AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Contractor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074711; Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Factory New): float at most 0.004208 instead of 0.004122
Craft 2081303 · The Harlequin Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 118.17₽ · invest 45.78₽
FAMAS | Byproduct (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Contractor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074764 instead of 0.074711; Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Factory New): float at most 0.004169 instead of 0.004122
Craft 2061117 · The Ascent Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 116.87₽ · invest 46.08₽
P90 | Blue Tac (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Contractor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074711; Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Factory New): float at most 0.004208 instead of 0.004122
Craft 2062398 · The Boreal Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 116.87₽ · invest 45.89₽
M249 | Sage Camo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Contractor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074711; Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Factory New): float at most 0.004208 instead of 0.004122
Craft 2057093 · The Achroma Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 116.42₽ · invest 45.74₽
PP-Bizon | Bizoom (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Contractor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074792 instead of 0.074711; Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Factory New): float at most 0.004193 instead of 0.004122
Craft 2087005 · The Radiant Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 116.18₽ · invest 45.87₽
Nova | Marsh Grass (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Contractor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074764 instead of 0.074711; Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Factory New): float at most 0.004169 instead of 0.004122
Craft 2061783 · The Bank Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 114.08₽ · invest 48.01₽
Negev | Army Sheen (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Contractor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074711; Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Factory New): float at most 0.003812 instead of 0.004122

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Safehouse Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build