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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Average profit +302.86₽

Invest 499.21₽

Average return 802.07₽

ROI +60.7%

Chance of profit 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 1 248.50₽ · profit at most −446.44₽ (−35.8%) · chance of profit at most 22%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear) × 8 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.59 395.84 → 1 025.23 ₽

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 88.24 → 190.60 ₽

Nova | Turquoise Pour (Factory New) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 15.13 → 32.68 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

+ a third collection

How to build

5% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 5% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×8

P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

395.84 ₽

at 49.48

Steam

×1

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

88.24 ₽

at 88.24

souvenirSteam

×1

Nova | Turquoise Pour

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

15.13 ₽

at 15.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 499.21 ₽ +302.86 (+60.7%)

10% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 10% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×2

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1739

52.12 ₽

at 26.06

souvenirSteam

×6

Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0783

34.20 ₽

at 5.70

Steam

×2

Nova | Turquoise Pour

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

30.26 ₽

at 15.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 116.58 ₽ +94.37 (+81.0%)

8% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 8% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1673

26.06 ₽

at 26.06

souvenirSteam

×6

P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

296.88 ₽

at 49.48

Steam

×3

Nova | Turquoise Pour

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

45.39 ₽

at 15.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 368.33 ₽ +264.85 (+71.9%)

7% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 7% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×4

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1664

104.24 ₽

at 26.06

souvenirSteam

×1

Five-SeveN | Sky Blue

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

5.17 ₽

at 5.17

Steam

×5

Nova | Turquoise Pour

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

75.65 ₽

at 15.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 185.06 ₽ +194.78 (+105.2%)

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×3

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

78.18 ₽

at 26.06

souvenirSteam

×4

Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

22.80 ₽

at 5.70

Steam

×3

Nova | Turquoise Pour

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

45.39 ₽

at 15.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 146.37 ₽ +149.02 (+101.8%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

at a loss

M249 | Humidor

Factory New

float up to 0.063636

380.56 ₽ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

636.15 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

float up to 0.062363

368.47 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 692.78 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Mint Fan

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.076363

47.85 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Yeti Camo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089090

61.75 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P2000 | Royal Baroque

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.076363

40.33 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Cobalt Paisley

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.082727

48.40 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Reef Grief

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.076363

43.49 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection

Variant 2 The Nuke Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Nuke Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 4 only The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 6 The Boreal Collection instead of The Ascent Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +152.18 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +212.15 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Ascent Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2054436 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 307.06₽ · invest 495.32₽
rare inputs

SG 553 | Basket Halftone (Factory New) instead of Nova | Turquoise Pour (Factory New); P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074074 instead of 0.074109; Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New): float at most 0.003565 instead of 0.003595
Craft 2053848 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 306.49₽ · invest 496.83₽
rare inputs

P2000 | Marsh (Factory New) instead of Nova | Turquoise Pour (Factory New); P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074074 instead of 0.074109; Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New): float at most 0.003565 instead of 0.003595
Craft 2053652 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Achroma Collection · profit 304.67₽ · invest 496.13₽
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Snow Splash (Factory New) instead of Nova | Turquoise Pour (Factory New); P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074074 instead of 0.074109; Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New): float at most 0.003565 instead of 0.003595
Craft 2054181 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 304.50₽ · invest 498.43₽
rare inputs

XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New) instead of Nova | Turquoise Pour (Factory New); P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074074 instead of 0.074109; Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New): float at most 0.003565 instead of 0.003595
Craft 2051819 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection · profit 304.41₽ · invest 507.28₽
rare inputs

MP7 | Motherboard (Factory New) instead of Nova | Turquoise Pour (Factory New); P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074015 instead of 0.074109; Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New): float at most 0.003513 instead of 0.003595
Craft 2054523 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 303.89₽ · invest 498.52₽
rare inputs

M249 | Gator Mesh (Factory New) instead of Nova | Turquoise Pour (Factory New); P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074074 instead of 0.074109; Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New): float at most 0.003565 instead of 0.003595
Craft 2054245 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 300.54₽ · invest 505.59₽
rare inputs

XM1014 | CaliCamo (Factory New) instead of Nova | Turquoise Pour (Factory New); P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074074 instead of 0.074109; Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New): float at most 0.003565 instead of 0.003595
Craft 2054278 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Lake Collection · profit 294.59₽ · invest 505.95₽
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Night Ops (Factory New) instead of Nova | Turquoise Pour (Factory New); P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074074 instead of 0.074109; Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New): float at most 0.003565 instead of 0.003595
Craft 2054031 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Dust 2 Collection · profit 281.96₽ · invest 520.01₽
rare inputs

Tec-9 | VariCamo (Factory New) instead of Nova | Turquoise Pour (Factory New); P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074074 instead of 0.074109; Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New): float at most 0.003565 instead of 0.003595

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build