Crafts · The 2021 Mirage Collection
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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Lake Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade About the craft Craft 2054271 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +129.96₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the needed wear, regardless of float. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase. 78.65₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 208.61₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +165.2%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 80%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 194.27₽ · profit at most +14.35₽ (+7.4%) · chance of profit at most 30%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.
Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Factory New) × 5 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.47 61.35 → 151.53 ₽
G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Minimal Wear) × 5 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.47 17.30 → 42.73 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
+ a third collection

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×5
Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0040
61.35 ₽
at 12.27
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004018f′ (normalized) 0.007306wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 2 009 · good ≈ 27
Market history: no data yet
×5
G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0745
17.30 ₽
at 3.46
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074592f′ (normalized) 0.019720wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 1 253 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs 78.65 ₽ +129.96 (+165.2%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.013513414 outcomes come out up to 0.006756, 0.008108, 0.008108, 0.006351, 0.069999, 0.008108, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.013513 «No higher than» is a guarantee. Take every item with the float at the upper limit and you get exactly the result shown.

What you get 9 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 80%
  • Losing outcome 20%
in profit
CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm
Factory New
float up to 0.006756
117.03 ₽ 12.50%
price without deals
Steam CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Factory New)net 101.77 ₽
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 91.20 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 100.01 · lots 60 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 85.75 ₽ listings: 47 on CS.Money: ~ 93.39 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 89.99 ₽ listings: 89
in profit
Dual Berettas | Drift Wood
Factory New
float up to 0.008108
131.60 ₽ 12.50%
Steam Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New)net 114.43 ₽ sells 64 a week sell now to a buy order: 137.60 ₽ (you get 119.65 ₽)) · buy orders: 5144 sell on Market.CSGO: 123.00 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 134.87 · lots 46 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 97.64 ₽ listings: 48 on CS.Money: ~ 106.97 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 115.46 ₽ listings: 73
in profit
FAMAS | CaliCamo
Factory New
float up to 0.008108
207.61 ₽ 12.50%
Steam FAMAS | CaliCamo (Factory New)net 180.53 ₽ sells 47 a week sell now to a buy order: 211.84 ₽ (you get 184.20 ₽)) · buy orders: 6272 sell on Market.CSGO: 180.18 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 197.57 · lots 34 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 163.01 ₽ listings: 112 on CS.Money: ~ 171.50 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 182.54 ₽ listings: 115
in profit
P90 | Verdant Growth
Factory New
float up to 0.006351
132.09 ₽ 12.50%
Steam P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New)net 114.86 ₽ sells about 74 a week (data for 6 days of 7)) sell now to a buy order: 137.60 ₽ (you get 119.65 ₽)) · buy orders: 6839 sell on Market.CSGO: 87.96 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 96.45 · lots 58 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 82.35 ₽ listings: 149 on CS.Money: ~ 84.90 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 85.75 ₽ listings: 135
in profit
AWP | Safari Mesh
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
520.44 ₽ 10.00%
Steam AWP | Safari Mesh (Factory New)net 452.56 ₽The Lake Collection sells 46 a week sell now to a buy order: 539.51 ₽ (you get 469.13 ₽)) · buy orders: 10759 sell on Market.CSGO: 468.94 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 514.19 · lots 58 on CSFloat: from 491.57 ₽ listings: 219 on CS.Money: ~ 452.52 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 466.95 ₽ listings: 178
at a loss
worst
PP-Bizon | Night Ops
Factory New
float up to 0.008108
17.59 ₽ 10.00%
Steam PP-Bizon | Night Ops (Factory New)net 15.30 ₽The Lake Collection sells 99 a week sell now to a buy order: 20.79 ₽ (you get 18.07 ₽)) · buy orders: 14989 sell on Market.CSGO: 15.28 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 16.76 · lots 44 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 18.68 ₽ listings: 100 on CS.Money: ~ 16.13 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 15.28 ₽ listings: 84
in profit
Desert Eagle | Mudder
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
514.29 ₽ 10.00%
Steam Desert Eagle | Mudder (Factory New)net 447.21 ₽The Lake Collection sells 27 a week sell now to a buy order: 505.85 ₽ (you get 439.86 ₽)) · buy orders: 6539 sell on Market.CSGO: 415.52 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 455.62 · lots 55 on CSFloat: from 411.77 ₽ listings: 83 on CS.Money: ~ 461.01 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 427.05 ₽ listings: 129
in profit
best
FAMAS | Cyanospatter
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
541.67 ₽ 10.00%
Steam FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Factory New)net 471.02 ₽The Lake Collection sells 20 a week sell now to a buy order: 582.07 ₽ (you get 506.14 ₽)) · buy orders: 4765 sell on Market.CSGO: 460.67 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 505.13 · lots 35 on CSFloat: from 405.82 ₽ listings: 55 on CS.Money: ~ 461.86 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 465.25 ₽ listings: 97
at a loss
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Factory New
float up to 0.013513
69.62 ₽ 10.00%
Steam XM1014 | Blue Steel (Factory New)net 60.54 ₽The Lake Collection sells 89 a week sell now to a buy order: 70.28 ₽ (you get 61.11 ₽)) · buy orders: 8125 sell on Market.CSGO: 57.66 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 63.23 · lots 9 on CSFloat: from 100.18 ₽ listings: 80 on CS.Money: ~ 60.28 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 52.64 ₽ listings: 48

Craft variants Craft variants One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Lake Collection
Variant 2 The Overpass Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Radiant Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Lake Collection Variant 6 The Dust 2 Collection instead of The Lake Collection
Chains Pretty floats Interesting Cases Favorites From inventory Proven in practice How crafts work