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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Lake Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Average profit +3.09$

Invest 6.38$

Average return 9.47$

ROI +48.5%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 15.47 $, profit at most −6.00 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

4.08 $

at 0.58

Steam

×2

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

2.08 $

at 1.04

souvenirSteam

×1

FAMAS | Cyanospatter

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

0.22 $

at 0.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.38 $ +3.09 (+48.5%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 22%
Losing outcome 55%
About break-even 22%

at a loss

M249 | Humidor

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

4.48 $ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

float up to 0.064166

7.49 $ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

float up to 0.057166

4.34 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.064166

31.72 $ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Teardown

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

0.65 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SG 553 | Anodized Navy

Factory New

float up to 0.009333

0.43 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Night Ops

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1.51 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Lake Collection

Variant 2 The Nuke Collection instead of The Lake Collection Variant 3 The Nuke Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 only The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The Lake Collection Variant 6 The Boreal Collection instead of The Lake Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.31 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.02 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Lake Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2053715 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Anubis Collection · profit 3.30$ · invest 6.38$
sells slowly rare inputs

SSG 08 | Azure Glyph (Field-Tested) instead of FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Minimal Wear); P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074209 instead of 0.075771; Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New): float at most 0.003683 instead of 0.005050
Craft 2054347 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 3.21$ · invest 6.26$
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested) instead of FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Minimal Wear); P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075903 instead of 0.075771; Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New): float at most 0.005165 instead of 0.005050
Craft 2051209 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection · profit 3.18$ · invest 6.33$
rare inputs

Glock-18 | High Beam (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Minimal Wear); P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074317 instead of 0.075771; Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New): float at most 0.003777 instead of 0.005050
Craft 2054437 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 3.17$ · invest 6.29$
rare inputs

SG 553 | Basket Halftone (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Minimal Wear); P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076441 instead of 0.075771; Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New): float at most 0.005636 instead of 0.005050
Craft 2054246 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 3.16$ · invest 6.34$
rare inputs

P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Minimal Wear) instead of FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2053849 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 3.16$ · invest 6.31$
rare inputs

P2000 | Marsh (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Minimal Wear); P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076441 instead of 0.075771; Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New): float at most 0.005636 instead of 0.005050
Craft 2054524 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 3.14$ · invest 6.33$
rare inputs

USP-S | Forest Leaves (Minimal Wear) instead of FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2053781 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 3.13$ · invest 6.34$
rare inputs

Nova | Turquoise Pour (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Minimal Wear); P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076498 instead of 0.075771; Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New): float at most 0.005685 instead of 0.005050
Craft 2054032 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Dust 2 Collection · profit 3.11$ · invest 6.37$
rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Minimal Wear) instead of FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2054157 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Graphic Design Collection · profit 3.01$ · invest 6.62$
rare inputs

Galil AR | NV (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Minimal Wear); P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076309 instead of 0.075771; Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New): float at most 0.005520 instead of 0.005050

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Lake Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build