to all crafts

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Nuke Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +29.98$

Invest 145.94$

Average return 175.92$

ROI +20.5%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 360.47 $, profit at most −184.55 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

5.20 $

at 1.04

souvenirSteam

×5

P90 | Fallout Warning

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

140.74 $

at 28.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 145.94 $ +29.98 (+20.5%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

best

M4A4 | Radiation Hazard

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

392.61 $ 50.00%

Steam

at a loss

M249 | Humidor

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

4.48 $ 12.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

float up to 0.007432

7.49 $ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

float up to 0.006621

4.34 $ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.007432

31.72 $ 12.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Nuke Collection

Variant 2 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Radiant Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Overpass Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 6 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +5.58 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +24.13 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Nuke Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 16 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2060960 · The Ascent Collection + The Nuke Collection · profit 35.61$ · invest 169.61$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Turquoise Pour (Factory New) instead of Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New); P90 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; P90 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074074 instead of 0.074809
Craft 2059495 · The Arabesque Collection + The Nuke Collection · profit 35.00$ · invest 171.21$
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Traitor (Factory New) instead of Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New); P90 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; P90 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074656 instead of 0.074809
Craft 2084033 · The Nuke Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 34.44$ · invest 171.75$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Arctic Camo Panels (Factory New) instead of Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New); P90 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; P90 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074656 instead of 0.074809
Craft 2052287 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Nuke Collection · profit 30.01$ · invest 142.11$
sells slowly rare inputs

MP7 | Motherboard (Factory New) instead of Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New); P90 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074809
Craft 2062216 · The Boreal Collection + The Nuke Collection · profit 29.78$ · invest 141.49$
sells slowly rare inputs

P2000 | Marsh (Factory New) instead of Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New)
Craft 2081144 · The Harlequin Collection + The Nuke Collection · profit 29.77$ · invest 141.59$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New) instead of Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New)
Craft 2083998 · The Nuke Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 29.69$ · invest 141.41$
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Basket Halftone (Factory New) instead of Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New)
Craft 2056933 · The Achroma Collection + The Nuke Collection · profit 29.61$ · invest 141.45$
sells slowly rare inputs

MP5-SD | Snow Splash (Factory New) instead of Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New)
Craft 2084019 · The Nuke Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 29.46$ · invest 141.59$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Gator Mesh (Factory New) instead of Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New)
Craft 2058767 · The Anubis Collection + The Nuke Collection · profit 29.33$ · invest 178.85$
sells slowly rare inputs

M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Factory New) instead of Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New); P90 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; P90 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074189 instead of 0.074809
Craft 2053226 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Nuke Collection · profit 29.30$ · invest 147.65$
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir MP9 | Old Roots (Factory New) instead of Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New); P90 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074809
Craft 2082701 · The Italy Collection + The Nuke Collection · profit 29.24$ · invest 142.01$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | CaliCamo (Factory New) instead of Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New)
Craft 2080795 · The Graphic Design Collection + The Nuke Collection · profit 29.17$ · invest 143.05$
sells slowly rare inputs

Galil AR | NV (Factory New) instead of Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New); P90 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074205 instead of 0.074809
Craft 2083534 · The Lake Collection + The Nuke Collection · profit 29.05$ · invest 142.03$
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Night Ops (Factory New) instead of Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New)
Craft 2073927 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Nuke Collection · profit 28.76$ · invest 142.86$
sells slowly rare inputs

Tec-9 | VariCamo (Factory New) instead of Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New)
Craft 2055924 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Nuke Collection · profit 28.36$ · invest 149.58$
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Factory New) instead of Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New); P90 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074307 instead of 0.074809

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Nuke Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build