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The 2021 Train Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +6 834.05₸

Invest 5 204.42₸

Average return 12 038.47₸

ROI +131.3%

Chance of profit 44%

With float: invest at least 12 937.31 ₸, profit at most −898.79 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

1 596.44 ₸

at 1 596.44

Steam

×9

XM1014 | Slipstream

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

3 607.98 ₸

at 400.89

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 204.42 ₸ +6 834.05 (+131.3%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 44%
Losing outcome 56%

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Directive

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

43 270.92 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Weasel

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

23 138.01 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAG-7 | Petroglyph

Factory New

float up to 0.004680

1 043.43 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

SCAR-20 | Powercore

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

1 987.54 ₸ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Triarch

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

2 061.36 ₸ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AWP | POP AWP

Factory New

float up to 0.004680

16 483.02 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Factory New

float up to 0.007446

7 483.11 ₸ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Space Race

Factory New

float up to 0.006382

10 512.27 ₸ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly

Factory New

float up to 0.006170

8 890.28 ₸ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

float up to 0.004255

5 333.18 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Gamma 2 Collection Variant 4 only The Gamma 2 Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3 347.08 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +6 583.26 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Gamma 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2077937 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 7 360.91₸ · invest 5 434.53₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Sonar (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Full Stop (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005260 instead of 0.005409
Craft 2078080 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 7 213.67₸ · invest 4 975.81₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Cocoa Rampage (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Full Stop (Factory New)
Craft 2077964 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Graphic Design Collection · profit 7 055.91₸ · invest 4 828.82₸
sells slowly

XM1014 | Halftone Shift (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Full Stop (Factory New)
Craft 2078122 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 6 996.83₸ · invest 5 157.92₸
sells slowly rare inputs

G3SG1 | Keeping Tabs (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Full Stop (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005475 instead of 0.005409
Craft 2078552 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 6 992.76₸ · invest 4 888.36₸
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Magma (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Full Stop (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005475 instead of 0.005409
Craft 2055660 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 6 973.42₸ · invest 6 220.43₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir Negev | Infrastructure (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Full Stop (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005308 instead of 0.005409
Craft 2078103 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 6 956.00₸ · invest 6 201.45₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Hard Water (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Full Stop (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005260 instead of 0.005409
Craft 2073841 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 6 920.89₸ · invest 4 363.15₸
sells slowly

M4A1-S | VariCamo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Full Stop (Factory New)
Craft 2058600 · The Anubis Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 6 918.90₸ · invest 5 703.28₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Full Stop (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005599 instead of 0.005409
Craft 2078586 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 6 818.84₸ · invest 5 104.63₸
sells slowly rare inputs

G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Full Stop (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.004931 instead of 0.005409
Craft 2060229 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 6 816.18₸ · invest 6 405.85₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Blue Fissure (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Full Stop (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.004314 instead of 0.005409

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build