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The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Arabesque Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Average profit +150.43₽

Invest 233.52₽

Average return 383.95₽

ROI +64.4%

Chance of profit 78%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 543.66₽ · profit at most −159.71₽ (−29.4%) · chance of profit at most 8%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Factory New) × 1 8% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 150.00 → 324.00 ₽

Dual Berettas | Mystic Conjunction (Minimal Wear) × 9 8% of the wear range fits at least ×2.63 83.52 → 219.66 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

+ a third collection

How to build

8% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 8% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

150.00 ₽

at 150.00

souvenirSteam

×9

Dual Berettas | Mystic Conjunction

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

83.52 ₽

at 9.28

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 233.52 ₽ +150.43 (+64.4%)

profit on prices without sales at least −355 ₽

13% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 13% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0802

135.72 ₽

at 135.72

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0089

450.00 ₽

at 150.00

souvenirSteam

×6

Dual Berettas | Mystic Conjunction

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0802

55.68 ₽

at 9.28

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 641.40 ₽ +23.98 (+3.7%)

profit on prices without sales at least −213 ₽

7% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 7% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

135.72 ₽

at 135.72

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

300.00 ₽

at 150.00

souvenirSteam

×7

Dual Berettas | Mystic Conjunction

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

64.96 ₽

at 9.28

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 500.68 ₽ +70.89 (+14.2%)

profit on prices without sales at least −81 ₽

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×2

Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

300.00 ₽

at 150.00

souvenirSteam

×1

PP-Bizon | Traitor

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

4.06 ₽

at 4.06

Steam

×7

Dual Berettas | Mystic Conjunction

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

64.96 ₽

at 9.28

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 369.02 ₽ +108.74 (+29.5%)

profit on prices without sales at least −470 ₽

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

Souvenir Glock-18 | Red Tire

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

108.99 ₽

at 108.99

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

600.00 ₽

at 150.00

souvenirSteam

×5

Dual Berettas | Mystic Conjunction

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

46.40 ₽

at 9.28

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 755.39 ₽ +3.80 (+0.5%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 78%
Losing outcome 22%

in profit

FAMAS | Snake Song

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

320.24 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Arabesque Mosaic

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

318.14 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

169.81 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Sultan

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

526.45 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Green Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.046599

3 550.00 ₽ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Negev | Infrastructure

Factory New

float up to 0.034299

673.26 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Interlock

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

620.14 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Schematic

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

806.51 ₽ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Arabesque Collection

Variant 2 The Nuke Collection instead of The 2021 Vertigo Collection Variant 3 The Nuke Collection instead of The Arabesque Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Vertigo Collection Variant 5 The Bank Collection instead of The 2021 Vertigo Collection Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The 2021 Vertigo Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +84.40 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +132.78 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Vertigo Collection and The Arabesque Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2052710 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Arabesque Collection · profit 166.45₽ · invest 200.79₽
rare inputs

Souvenir MP9 | Old Roots (Factory New) instead of Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Factory New); Dual Berettas | Mystic Conjunction (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076489

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Arabesque Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build