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The Ancient Collection + The Italy Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +16.19₴

Invest 94.10₴

Average return 110.29₴

ROI +17.2%

Chance of profit 68%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 237.18₴ · profit at most −126.89₴ (−53.5%) · chance of profit at most 0%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested) × 8 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.59 78.87 → 204.27 ₴

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 13.12 → 28.33 ₴

AUG | Contractor (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 2.12 → 4.57 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

+ a third collection

How to build

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×8

Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

78.87 ₴

at 9.86

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

13.12 ₴

at 13.12

souvenirSteam

×1

AUG | Contractor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

2.12 ₴

at 2.12

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 94.10 ₴ +16.19 (+17.2%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 33%
About break-even 22%

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Silver

Factory New

float up to 0.009333

98.36 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.088666

167.00 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

P2000 | Panther Camo

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

181.16 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

about break-even

MP7 | Tall Grass

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.075833

112.39 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Dual Berettas | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

7.42 ₴ 1.67%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Granite Marbleized

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.146333

8.31 ₴ 1.67%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.146333

15.62 ₴ 1.67%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Candy Apple

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

11.88 ₴ 1.67%

Steam

at a loss

UMP-45 | Gunsmoke

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.146333

10.34 ₴ 1.67%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | CaliCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11.02 ₴ 1.67%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Ancient Collection + The Italy Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 3 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 4 The Lake Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 5 The Overpass Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 6 The Anubis Collection instead of The Italy Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −6.78 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +7.15 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Ancient Collection and The Italy Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2051271 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 16.62₴ · invest 93.41₴
sells slowly

MAG-7 | Rust Coat (Minimal Wear) instead of AUG | Contractor (Minimal Wear); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164231 instead of 0.164654; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004331 instead of 0.004459
Craft 2057495 · The Ancient Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 16.39₴ · invest 93.47₴
sells slowly

M249 | Sage Camo (Factory New) instead of AUG | Contractor (Minimal Wear); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165705 instead of 0.164654; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004780 instead of 0.004459
Craft 2058123 · The Ancient Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 16.38₴ · invest 93.43₴
sells slowly

SCAR-20 | Contractor (Minimal Wear) instead of AUG | Contractor (Minimal Wear); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168684 instead of 0.164654; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.005686 instead of 0.004459
Craft 2057894 · The Ancient Collection + The Lake Collection · profit 16.33₴ · invest 93.82₴
sells slowly

G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Minimal Wear) instead of AUG | Contractor (Minimal Wear); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168684 instead of 0.164654; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.005686 instead of 0.004459
Craft 2058046 · The Ancient Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 16.23₴ · invest 93.46₴
sells slowly

Nova | Marsh Grass (Factory New) instead of AUG | Contractor (Minimal Wear); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165647 instead of 0.164654; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004762 instead of 0.004459
Craft 2057866 · The Ancient Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 16.11₴ · invest 94.10₴
sells slowly

XM1014 | CaliCamo: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168684 instead of 0.164654; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.005686 instead of 0.004459; AUG | Contractor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076498 instead of 0.075097

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Ancient Collection + The Italy Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build