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The Ancient Collection + The Overpass Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +76.76₸

Invest 961.49₸

Average return 1 038.24₸

ROI +8.0%

Chance of profit 68%

With float: invest at least 2 419.17 ₸, profit at most −1 380.98 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

94.77 ₸

at 94.77

souvenirSteam

×8

Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

796.21 ₸

at 99.53

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4677

70.50 ₸

at 70.50

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 961.49 ₸ +76.76 (+8.0%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

94.77 ₸

at 94.77

souvenirSteam

×7

Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

696.69 ₸

at 99.53

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4677

70.50 ₸

at 70.50

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

81.14 ₸

at 81.14

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 943.10 ₸ +43.88 (+4.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −27 ₸

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

94.77 ₸

at 94.77

souvenirSteam

×6

Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

597.16 ₸

at 99.53

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4677

70.50 ₸

at 70.50

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

162.28 ₸

at 81.14

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 924.71 ₸ +11.06 (+1.2%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 33%
About break-even 22%

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Silver

Factory New

float up to 0.015789

992.97 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 685.92 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Panther Camo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.098684

1 198.01 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

about break-even

MP7 | Tall Grass

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.128289

1 134.56 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Urban DDPAT

Field-Tested

float up to 0.206052

774.35 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Night

Field-Tested

float up to 0.206052

695.08 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P2000 | Grassland

Field-Tested

float up to 0.206052

579.63 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Gunsmoke

Field-Tested

float up to 0.206052

605.87 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Ancient Collection + The Overpass Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 3 The Lake Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 4 The Anubis Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 5 The Ascent Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 6 The Boreal Collection instead of The Overpass Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −115.19 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +14.70 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Ancient Collection and The Overpass Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2057473 · The Ancient Collection + The Bank Collection · profit 82.64₸ · invest 904.72₸
sells slowly

Sawed-Off | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Battle-Scarred); Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.169211 instead of 0.161682; Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.169211 instead of 0.161682
Craft 2051273 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 80.81₸ · invest 905.42₸
sells slowly

MAG-7 | Rust Coat (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Battle-Scarred); Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161933 instead of 0.161682; Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161933 instead of 0.161682
Craft 2057811 · The Ancient Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 79.82₸ · invest 905.42₸
sells slowly

FAMAS | Byproduct (Factory New) instead of Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Battle-Scarred); Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166987 instead of 0.161682; Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166987 instead of 0.161682

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Ancient Collection + The Overpass Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build