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The Arabesque Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +380.10₽

Invest 759.17₽

Average return 1 139.27₽

ROI +50.1%

Chance of profit 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 1 963.95₽ · profit at most −824.68₽ (−42.0%) · chance of profit at most 0%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear) × 9 9% of the wear range fits at least ×2.63 689.67 → 1 813.83 ₽

UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New) × 1 9% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 69.50 → 150.12 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

+ a third collection

How to build

9% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 9% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×9

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

689.67 ₽

at 76.63

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Fragment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

69.50 ₽

at 69.50

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 759.17 ₽ +380.10 (+50.1%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

AUG | Lapis Lazuli

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 748.98 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 200.00 ₽ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P250 | Lotus Imprint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 273.06 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

498.92 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

373.34 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Electrum

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

650.80 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Amberline

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

340.75 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

313.58 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Arabesque Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Arabesque Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Arabesque Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +234.75 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +350.18 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arabesque Collection and The Dead Hand Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 29 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2059683 · The Arabesque Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 418.15₽ · invest 730.93₽
UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2059215 · The Arabesque Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 414.59₽ · invest 738.50₽
M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2059205 · The Arabesque Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 414.18₽ · invest 719.15₽
Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074590 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2059124 · The Arabesque Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 412.73₽ · invest 765.83₽
P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2059311 · The Arabesque Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 411.20₽ · invest 750.20₽
UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2059257 · The Arabesque Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 409.93₽ · invest 715.90₽
Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074729 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2059367 · The Arabesque Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 409.62₽ · invest 733.22₽
rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074193 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2059635 · The Arabesque Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 409.15₽ · invest 745.67₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2059159 · The Arabesque Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 408.76₽ · invest 722.99₽
MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2059228 · The Arabesque Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 408.67₽ · invest 765.50₽
rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2059596 · The Arabesque Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 406.48₽ · invest 756.32₽
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2059280 · The Arabesque Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 405.48₽ · invest 710.17₽
SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076644 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2059707 · The Arabesque Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 403.90₽ · invest 733.61₽
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2059548 · The Arabesque Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 403.70₽ · invest 753.12₽
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076256 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2059331 · The Arabesque Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 403.48₽ · invest 718.04₽
SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2059665 · The Arabesque Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 403.12₽ · invest 777.00₽
rare inputs

MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2059462 · The Arabesque Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 402.61₽ · invest 716.03₽
Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076827 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2059345 · The Arabesque Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 401.47₽ · invest 747.28₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076832 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2056556 · The Achroma Collection + The Arabesque Collection · profit 400.30₽ · invest 754.62₽
P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076765 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2059425 · The Arabesque Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 399.62₽ · invest 762.27₽
UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2059726 · The Arabesque Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 399.15₽ · invest 766.62₽
rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2059694 · The Arabesque Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 398.21₽ · invest 726.03₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2059558 · The Arabesque Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 397.01₽ · invest 736.36₽
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2059239 · The Arabesque Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 396.63₽ · invest 722.67₽
rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2059175 · The Arabesque Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit 395.28₽ · invest 738.66₽
rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2059607 · The Arabesque Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 393.67₽ · invest 724.01₽
Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2059186 · The Arabesque Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit 392.20₽ · invest 757.03₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076723 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2059622 · The Arabesque Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 390.43₽ · invest 724.26₽
SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076915 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2059377 · The Arabesque Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 381.14₽ · invest 757.03₽
rare inputs

MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Arabesque Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build