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The Breakout Collection + The Fever Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +43.57$

Invest 84.66$

Average return 128.24$

ROI +51.5%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 209.85 $, profit at most −81.61 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

27.28 $

at 27.28

Steam

×9

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

57.39 $

at 6.38

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 84.66 $ +43.57 (+51.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −71 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Glock-18 | Water Elemental

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

69.46 $

at 23.15

Steam

×3

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

81.84 $

at 27.28

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

25.50 $

at 6.38

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 176.80 $ +7.87 (+4.5%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

25.10 $

at 25.10

Steam

×1

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

27.28 $

at 27.28

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

51.01 $

at 6.38

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 103.39 $ +36.13 (+35.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −11 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

50.21 $

at 25.10

Steam

×1

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

27.28 $

at 27.28

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

44.63 $

at 6.38

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 122.12 $ +28.69 (+23.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −52 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

100.41 $

at 25.10

Steam

×1

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

27.28 $

at 27.28

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

31.88 $

at 6.38

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 159.57 $ +13.81 (+8.7%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 45%

in profit

AWP | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

175.13 $ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

worst

FAMAS | Bad Trip

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

93.85 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

227.91 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P90 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.064399

300.68 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The Genesis Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The Genesis Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Fever Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +28.45 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +38.40 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2075319 · The Fever Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 46.61$ · invest 95.38$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2075895 · The Fever Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 42.76$ · invest 87.07$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.075874

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build