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The Danger Zone Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +7.02$

Invest 19.90$

Average return 26.92$

ROI +35.3%

Chance of profit 63%

With float: invest at least 47.97 $, profit at most −21.05 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P250 | Nevermore

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

2.15 $

at 2.15

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Exposure

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

4.88 $

at 1.22

Steam

×5

SG 553 | Phantom

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

12.87 $

at 2.57

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19.90 $ +7.02 (+35.3%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 63%
Losing outcome 37%

at a loss

PP-Bizon | High Roller

Factory New

float up to 0.059701

21.11 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Leaded Glass

Factory New

float up to 0.041790

46.04 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

29.93 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries

Factory New

float up to 0.035820

28.54 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Factory New

float up to 0.047761

14.49 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

float up to 0.029850

12.14 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 3 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 6 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3.09 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5.77 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Spectrum 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2075762 · The Fever Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 7.63$ · invest 19.31$
sells slowly rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) instead of P250 | Nevermore (Factory New); UMP-45 | Exposure (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075559 instead of 0.075248; SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New): float at most 0.004864 instead of 0.004592
Craft 2083306 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 7.36$ · invest 19.08$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New) instead of P250 | Nevermore (Factory New); UMP-45 | Exposure (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075502 instead of 0.075248; SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New): float at most 0.004814 instead of 0.004592
Craft 2069906 · The Clutch Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 7.34$ · invest 19.43$
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) instead of P250 | Nevermore (Factory New); UMP-45 | Exposure (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075442 instead of 0.075248; SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New): float at most 0.004762 instead of 0.004592
Craft 2087403 · The Recoil Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 7.23$ · invest 19.21$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Downtown (Factory New) instead of P250 | Nevermore (Factory New); UMP-45 | Exposure (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075526 instead of 0.075248; SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New): float at most 0.004835 instead of 0.004592
Craft 2089193 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 7.13$ · invest 20.52$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) instead of P250 | Nevermore (Factory New); UMP-45 | Exposure (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075325 instead of 0.075248; SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New): float at most 0.004660 instead of 0.004592

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build