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The Dead Hand Collection + The Fracture Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +5 856.43₽

Invest 8 979.45₽

Average return 14 835.88₽

ROI +65.2%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 23 352.10 ₽, profit at most −8 516.22 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

8% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

P90 | Deathgaze

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

8 418.06 ₽

at 935.34

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

561.39 ₽

at 561.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8 979.45 ₽ +5 856.43 (+65.2%)

12% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1764

509.64 ₽

at 509.64

Steam

×6

P90 | Deathgaze

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0792

5 612.04 ₽

at 935.34

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0080

1 684.17 ₽

at 561.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7 805.85 ₽ +4 943.17 (+63.3%)

9% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1705

1 019.28 ₽

at 509.64

Steam

×4

P90 | Deathgaze

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

3 741.36 ₽

at 935.34

Steam

×4

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

2 245.56 ₽

at 561.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7 006.20 ₽ +4 699.39 (+67.1%)

8% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1692

509.64 ₽

at 509.64

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Entombed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

1 142.34 ₽

at 380.78

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

3 368.34 ₽

at 561.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 020.32 ₽ +1 468.12 (+29.2%)

7% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1670

1 019.28 ₽

at 509.64

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Entombed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

761.56 ₽

at 380.78

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

3 368.34 ₽

at 561.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 149.18 ₽ +2 382.69 (+46.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

AWP | Queen's Gambit

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

21 223.38 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15 299.04 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

5 609.84 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

6 913.67 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Fracture Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 3 The Genesis Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Genesis Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 5 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3 677.83 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5 071.59 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Fracture Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2072251 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 6 294.11₽ · invest 9 350.21₽
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074284 instead of 0.076511
Craft 2071955 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 5 862.98₽ · invest 9 117.29₽
sells slowly

Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076792 instead of 0.076511
Craft 2071790 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 5 796.02₽ · invest 9 989.01₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076395 instead of 0.076511
Craft 2072075 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 5 774.80₽ · invest 9 388.94₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Antique (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075874 instead of 0.076511
Craft 2072186 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 5 762.71₽ · invest 9 243.65₽
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.076511
Craft 2067059 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 5 759.61₽ · invest 10 227.30₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076905 instead of 0.076511
Craft 2069010 · The Clutch Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 5 744.89₽ · invest 9 272.48₽
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076737 instead of 0.076511
Craft 2072225 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 5 714.47₽ · invest 9 314.31₽
sells slowly

AWP | Duality (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076934 instead of 0.076511
Craft 2064225 · The CS20 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 5 699.21₽ · invest 9 459.58₽
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076644 instead of 0.076511

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Fracture Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build