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The Dead Hand Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +1 387.13₽

Invest 744.50₽

Average return 2 131.63₽

ROI +186.3%

Chance of profit 36%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 1 925.37₽ · profit at most +206.26₽ (+10.7%) · chance of profit at most 36%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New) × 1 8% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 69.50 → 150.12 ₽

XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) × 9 8% of the wear range fits at least ×2.63 675.00 → 1 775.25 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

+ a third collection

How to build

8% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 8% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

UMP-45 | Fragment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

69.50 ₽

at 69.50

Steam

×9

XM1014 | Slipstream

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

675.00 ₽

at 75.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 744.50 ₽ +1 387.13 (+186.3%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 36%
Losing outcome 64%

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Directive

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 095.35 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Weasel

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

4 328.78 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAG-7 | Petroglyph

Factory New

float up to 0.004680

195.21 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

SCAR-20 | Powercore

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

371.84 ₽ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Triarch

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

385.65 ₽ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

498.92 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

373.34 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Electrum

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

650.80 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Amberline

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

340.75 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

313.58 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Gamma 2 Collection Variant 4 only The Gamma 2 Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +767.27 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 358.29 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Gamma 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 39 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2078334 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 1 446.80₽ · invest 738.17₽
sells slowly

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005189 instead of 0.005599
Craft 2078163 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 1 443.00₽ · invest 728.45₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.003963 instead of 0.005599
Craft 2074259 · The Falchion Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 1 439.14₽ · invest 735.53₽
sells slowly

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005475 instead of 0.005599
Craft 2078146 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 1 425.58₽ · invest 729.19₽
sells slowly

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005319 instead of 0.005599
Craft 2078394 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 1 425.19₽ · invest 716.26₽
sells slowly

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005319 instead of 0.005599
Craft 2067275 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 1 421.62₽ · invest 723.83₽
sells slowly

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005319 instead of 0.005599
Craft 2066124 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 1 421.21₽ · invest 704.48₽
sells slowly

Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.004231 instead of 0.005599
Craft 2070626 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 1 416.96₽ · invest 701.23₽
sells slowly

Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.004342 instead of 0.005599
Craft 2077883 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 1 416.66₽ · invest 718.55₽
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.004082 instead of 0.005599
Craft 2078304 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 1 416.19₽ · invest 731.00₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005319 instead of 0.005599
Craft 2062046 · The Boreal Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 1 415.79₽ · invest 708.32₽
sells slowly

MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005409 instead of 0.005599
Craft 2078237 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 1 413.51₽ · invest 741.65₽
sells slowly

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005319 instead of 0.005599
Craft 2072763 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 1 412.51₽ · invest 695.50₽
sells slowly

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005385 instead of 0.005599
Craft 2078439 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 1 410.93₽ · invest 718.94₽
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005319 instead of 0.005599
Craft 2076015 · The Fracture Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 1 410.51₽ · invest 703.37₽
sells slowly

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005475 instead of 0.005599
Craft 2078033 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 1 409.64₽ · invest 701.36₽
sells slowly

Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005474 instead of 0.005599
Craft 2078209 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 1 408.91₽ · invest 778.50₽
sells slowly

FAMAS | Crypsis (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005367 instead of 0.005599
Craft 2076799 · The Gallery Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 1 408.50₽ · invest 732.61₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005477 instead of 0.005599
Craft 2056805 · The Achroma Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 1 407.34₽ · invest 739.95₽
sells slowly

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005444 instead of 0.005599
Craft 2077971 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 1 406.66₽ · invest 747.60₽
sells slowly

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005475 instead of 0.005599
Craft 2078468 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 1 406.18₽ · invest 751.95₽
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005475 instead of 0.005599
Craft 2078417 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 1 405.24₽ · invest 711.36₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005319 instead of 0.005599
Craft 2078186 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 1 404.04₽ · invest 721.69₽
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005409 instead of 0.005599
Craft 2069222 · The Clutch Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 1 403.66₽ · invest 708.00₽
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005475 instead of 0.005599
Craft 2063448 · The Breakout Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 1 402.31₽ · invest 723.99₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005319 instead of 0.005599
Craft 2078250 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 1 400.70₽ · invest 709.34₽
sells slowly

Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005475 instead of 0.005599
Craft 2064413 · The CS20 Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 1 399.24₽ · invest 742.36₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005424 instead of 0.005599
Craft 2078281 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 1 397.46₽ · invest 709.59₽
sells slowly

SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005517 instead of 0.005599
Craft 2051477 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 1 394.34₽ · invest 799.00₽
sells slowly pricier variants exist

USP-S | Check Engine (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005409 instead of 0.005599
Craft 2077912 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 1 388.17₽ · invest 742.36₽
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New)
Craft 2075129 · The Fever Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 1 375.20₽ · invest 737.60₽
sells slowly rare inputs

P2000 | Sure Grip (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005566 instead of 0.005599
Craft 2078031 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 1 374.73₽ · invest 731.15₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005409 instead of 0.005599
Craft 2061643 · The Bank Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 1 373.47₽ · invest 815.16₽
sells slowly

Desert Eagle | Meteorite (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.004516 instead of 0.005599
Craft 2078530 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 1 371.67₽ · invest 870.19₽
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005319 instead of 0.005599
Craft 2059358 · The Arabesque Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 1 371.14₽ · invest 845.00₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New)
Craft 2078007 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 1 366.87₽ · invest 801.68₽
sells slowly

SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.004614 instead of 0.005599
Craft 2078500 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Train Collection · profit 1 363.80₽ · invest 734.34₽
sells slowly

Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005189 instead of 0.005599
Craft 2078067 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Lake Collection · profit 1 361.61₽ · invest 737.28₽
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Teardown (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005409 instead of 0.005599
Craft 2078475 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 1 345.21₽ · invest 884.91₽
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Monarch (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build