The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: this craft was not checked against the market at night (only the best are) or there were not enough listings. The numbers below are at average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will count by live listings right now.

Average profit +116.99₽

Invest 216.24₽

Average return 333.23₽

ROI +54.1%

Chance of profit 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 534.33₽ · profit at most −201.10₽ (−37.6%) · chance of profit at most 0%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 20.50 → 44.28 ₽

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested) × 8 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.59 156.40 → 405.08 ₽

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 39.34 → 84.97 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

+ a third collection

How to build

5% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 5% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

20.50 ₽

at 20.50

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

156.40 ₽

at 19.55

Steam

×1

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

39.34 ₽

at 39.34

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 216.24 ₽ +116.99 (+54.1%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

AWP | Exothermic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.138157

475.45 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.138157

361.23 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Space Cat

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.132236

60.72 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Field-Tested

float up to 0.197368

58.55 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Night Terror

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.138157

75.16 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Ticket to Hell

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

82.52 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.098684

58.59 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +79.50 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +101.04 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2081314 · The Harlequin Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 116.03₽ · invest 215.27₽
Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161501 instead of 0.162277; Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074000 instead of 0.074270
Craft 2076967 · The Gallery Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 114.01₽ · invest 223.97₽
USP-S | 27 (Field-Tested) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163315 instead of 0.162277; Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074631 instead of 0.074270
Craft 2081344 · The Harlequin Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 113.56₽ · invest 224.15₽
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Morris (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165685 instead of 0.162277; Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075455 instead of 0.074270
Craft 2052213 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 112.53₽ · invest 238.06₽
P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164426 instead of 0.162277; Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075017 instead of 0.074270
Craft 2081432 · The Harlequin Collection + The Train Collection · profit 110.42₽ · invest 219.89₽
Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161501 instead of 0.162277; Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074000 instead of 0.074270

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Harlequin Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build