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The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +21.46$

Invest 29.42$

Average return 50.87$

ROI +72.9%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 76.83 $, profit at most −25.96 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1650

1.14 $

at 1.14

Steam

×9

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1650

28.28 $

at 3.14

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 29.42 $ +21.46 (+72.9%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

0.89 $

at 0.89

Steam

×7

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

7.97 $

at 1.14

Steam

×1

SG 553 | Pulse

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

2.97 $

at 2.97

Steam

×1

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

3.14 $

at 3.14

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14.97 $ +12.91 (+86.2%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

3.42 $

at 1.14

Steam

×1

SG 553 | Pulse

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

2.97 $

at 2.97

Steam

×6

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

18.85 $

at 3.14

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 25.24 $ +19.07 (+75.5%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

5.69 $

at 1.14

Steam

×2

SG 553 | Pulse

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

5.94 $

at 2.97

Steam

×3

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

9.43 $

at 3.14

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 21.06 $ +16.68 (+79.2%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 70%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Redline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.141999

163.26 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Nova | Antique

Factory New

float up to 0.020999

10.55 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Trigon

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.126899

13.04 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

27.51 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.022399

19.28 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

26.71 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 only The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +15.99 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +20.53 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 27 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2062302 · The Boreal Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 22.42$ · invest 29.27$
sells slowly rare inputs

M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Field-Tested) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161764 instead of 0.165081
Craft 2063703 · The Breakout Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 22.34$ · invest 31.10$
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.165081
Craft 2085889 · The Phoenix Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 22.05$ · invest 32.90$
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Embargo (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.165081
Craft 2085223 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 22.02$ · invest 30.50$
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Eye of Zapems (Field-Tested) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164034 instead of 0.165081
Craft 2085860 · The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 21.83$ · invest 29.85$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161616 instead of 0.165081
Craft 2072069 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 21.74$ · invest 30.06$
sells slowly rare inputs

MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.165081
Craft 2078174 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 21.65$ · invest 29.94$
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Triarch (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.165081
Craft 2078892 · The Gamma Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 21.57$ · invest 30.64$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.165081
Craft 2086056 · The Phoenix Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 21.55$ · invest 30.71$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166502 instead of 0.165081
Craft 2079585 · The Genesis Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 21.43$ · invest 29.66$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Continuum (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.165081
Craft 2071006 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 21.40$ · invest 28.95$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Field-Tested) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164999 instead of 0.165081
Craft 2085971 · The Phoenix Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 21.33$ · invest 29.74$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165775 instead of 0.165081
Craft 2075466 · The Fever Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 21.14$ · invest 29.22$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162189 instead of 0.165081
Craft 2077229 · The Gallery Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 21.07$ · invest 28.97$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Randy Rush (Field-Tested) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161764 instead of 0.165081
Craft 2064707 · The CS20 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 20.88$ · invest 28.87$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Aztec (Field-Tested) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161764 instead of 0.165081
Craft 2085916 · The Phoenix Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 20.86$ · invest 29.37$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Button Masher (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.165081
Craft 2085712 · The Phoenix Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 20.85$ · invest 29.61$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.165081
Craft 2066467 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 20.85$ · invest 29.91$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163939 instead of 0.165081
Craft 2085917 · The Phoenix Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 20.82$ · invest 28.78$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Button Masher (Field-Tested) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161616 instead of 0.165081
Craft 2085825 · The Phoenix Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 20.82$ · invest 30.75$
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.165081
Craft 2069597 · The Clutch Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 20.73$ · invest 29.46$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161939 instead of 0.165081
Craft 2082954 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 20.73$ · invest 29.14$
sells slowly rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.165081
Craft 2064708 · The CS20 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 20.68$ · invest 30.29$
sells slowly rare inputs

MP5-SD | Agent (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.165081
Craft 2085773 · The Phoenix Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 20.57$ · invest 29.29$
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.165081
Craft 2051633 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 20.44$ · invest 31.96$
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Vino Primo (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.165081
Craft 2067628 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 20.37$ · invest 30.24$
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.165081
Craft 2086057 · The Phoenix Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 20.24$ · invest 33.61$
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162562 instead of 0.165081

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build