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The Falchion Collection + The Radiant Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +162.53₽

Invest 424.38₽

Average return 586.91₽

ROI +38.3%

Chance of profit 64%

With float: invest at least 1 044.46 ₽, profit at most −457.55 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈2% of lots fit: the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

60.53 ₽

at 60.53

Steam

×8

SSG 08 | Blush Pour

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

297.20 ₽

at 37.15

Steam

×1

M4A1-S | Rose Hex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

66.65 ₽

at 66.65

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 424.38 ₽ +162.53 (+38.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

181.59 ₽

at 60.53

Steam

×1

SSG 08 | Blush Pour

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1659

15.52 ₽

at 15.52

Steam

×6

SSG 08 | Blush Pour

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

222.90 ₽

at 37.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 420.01 ₽ +112.76 (+26.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −38 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

363.18 ₽

at 60.53

Steam

×1

SSG 08 | Blush Pour

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

15.52 ₽

at 15.52

Steam

×3

P250 | Red Tide

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

55.62 ₽

at 18.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 434.32 ₽ +17.24 (+4.0%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 34%
Losing outcome 6%
About break-even 60%

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Mulberry

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 149.90 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint

Factory New

float up to 0.062533

491.85 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

USP-S | Bleeding Edge

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

476.46 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

527.81 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093333

161.09 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.048533

764.47 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.046666

423.89 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187599

96.67 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Radiant Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +86.99 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +131.99 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Radiant Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 12 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2087047 · The Radiant Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 168.29₽ · invest 405.11₽
UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077055 instead of 0.077294; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.006173 instead of 0.006382
Craft 2076408 · The Fracture Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 166.91₽ · invest 392.22₽
SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2069678 · The Clutch Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 166.68₽ · invest 396.85₽
rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2067704 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 166.22₽ · invest 412.68₽
M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077055 instead of 0.077294; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.006173 instead of 0.006382
Craft 2086950 · The Radiant Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 164.05₽ · invest 398.19₽
Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2081785 · The Horizon Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 163.43₽ · invest 440.98₽
rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077055 instead of 0.077294; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.006173 instead of 0.006382
Craft 2086966 · The Radiant Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 162.61₽ · invest 398.44₽
SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077358 instead of 0.077294; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.006438 instead of 0.006382
Craft 2063759 · The Breakout Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 162.14₽ · invest 412.84₽
rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077055 instead of 0.077294; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.006173 instead of 0.006382
Craft 2077331 · The Gallery Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 161.59₽ · invest 421.46₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077296 instead of 0.077294; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.006384 instead of 0.006382
Craft 2086979 · The Radiant Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 157.54₽ · invest 419.85₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077055 instead of 0.077294; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.006173 instead of 0.006382
Craft 2086167 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 156.03₽ · invest 410.54₽
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077193 instead of 0.077294; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.006293 instead of 0.006382
Craft 2083577 · The Lake Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 154.91₽ · invest 402.79₽
SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074407 instead of 0.077294; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.003856 instead of 0.006382

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Radiant Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build