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The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Average profit +3 473.60₸

Invest 12 314.60₸

Average return 15 788.21₸

ROI +28.2%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 29 744.41 ₸, profit at most −13 956.26 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

1 066.04 ₸

at 1 066.04

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

7 595.47 ₸

at 1 085.07

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M249 | Emerald Poison Dart

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

3 653.09 ₸

at 1 826.55

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 12 314.60 ₸ +3 473.60 (+28.2%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1696

793.22 ₸

at 793.22

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1696

4 264.15 ₸

at 1 066.04

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1696

5 425.34 ₸

at 1 085.07

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10 482.71 ₸ +2 256.30 (+21.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −279 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1696

1 586.44 ₸

at 793.22

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1696

4 264.15 ₸

at 1 066.04

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1696

4 340.27 ₸

at 1 085.07

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10 190.86 ₸ +1 785.87 (+17.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 094 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1696

2 379.66 ₸

at 793.22

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1696

4 264.15 ₸

at 1 066.04

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1696

3 255.20 ₸

at 1 085.07

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9 899.02 ₸ +1 315.44 (+13.3%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 30%

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Fever Dream

Factory New

float up to 0.068749

16 838.10 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

14 857.78 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Decimator

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.106249

25 403.24 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.124999

8 382.92 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.039999

11 872.66 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.124999

10 544.61 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 only The Spectrum Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Genesis Collection instead of The Spectrum Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +631.74 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3 317.42 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Spectrum Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 17 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2089412 · The Spectrum Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 619.69₸ · invest 13 518.71₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164941 instead of 0.167490; StatTrak™ M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New): float at most 0.004547 instead of 0.005323
Craft 2073602 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 3 549.69₸ · invest 11 661.00₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164941 instead of 0.167490; StatTrak™ M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New): float at most 0.004547 instead of 0.005323
Craft 2076648 · The Fracture Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 3 526.49₸ · invest 11 823.01₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Kitbash (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162802 instead of 0.167490; StatTrak™ M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New): float at most 0.003896 instead of 0.005323
Craft 2083346 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 3 502.67₸ · invest 12 003.14₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164941 instead of 0.167490; StatTrak™ M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New): float at most 0.004547 instead of 0.005323
Craft 2075801 · The Fever Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 3 476.21₸ · invest 11 990.37₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164492 instead of 0.167490; StatTrak™ M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New): float at most 0.004410 instead of 0.005323
Craft 2089035 · The Snakebite Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 3 469.89₸ · invest 11 911.79₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Cyber Shell (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163427 instead of 0.167490; StatTrak™ M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New): float at most 0.004086 instead of 0.005323
Craft 2077662 · The Gallery Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 3 467.43₸ · invest 12 311.50₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Randy Rush (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162098 instead of 0.167490; StatTrak™ M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New): float at most 0.003682 instead of 0.005323
Craft 2069944 · The Clutch Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 3 466.41₸ · invest 11 832.68₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Wild Six (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162802 instead of 0.167490; StatTrak™ M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New): float at most 0.003896 instead of 0.005323
Craft 2072406 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 3 451.81₸ · invest 12 699.35₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164941 instead of 0.167490; StatTrak™ M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New): float at most 0.004547 instead of 0.005323
Craft 2087794 · The Revolution Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 3 451.28₸ · invest 11 744.33₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164941 instead of 0.167490; StatTrak™ M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New): float at most 0.004547 instead of 0.005323
Craft 2079869 · The Genesis Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 3 418.68₸ · invest 12 683.74₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Continuum (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164941 instead of 0.167490; StatTrak™ M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New): float at most 0.004547 instead of 0.005323
Craft 2065000 · The CS20 Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 3 407.03₸ · invest 12 245.28₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Plastique (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162802 instead of 0.167490; StatTrak™ M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New): float at most 0.003896 instead of 0.005323
Craft 2078454 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 3 402.81₸ · invest 12 258.80₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Triarch (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164941 instead of 0.167490; StatTrak™ M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New): float at most 0.004547 instead of 0.005323
Craft 2089202 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 3 401.76₸ · invest 12 292.37₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Ziggy (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161631 instead of 0.167490; StatTrak™ M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New): float at most 0.003540 instead of 0.005323
Craft 2086382 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 3 309.82₸ · invest 12 290.23₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164941 instead of 0.167490; StatTrak™ M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New): float at most 0.004547 instead of 0.005323
Craft 2071380 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 3 304.89₸ · invest 12 259.12₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163985 instead of 0.167490; StatTrak™ M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New): float at most 0.004256 instead of 0.005323
Craft 2067972 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 3 275.50₸ · invest 12 212.40₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164941 instead of 0.167490; StatTrak™ M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New): float at most 0.004547 instead of 0.005323

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build