Crafts · The Falchion Collection
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The Falchion Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 2074922 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +255.30₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the needed wear, regardless of float. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase. 465.58₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 720.88₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +54.8%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 64%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 1 153.76₽ · profit at most −432.87₽ (−37.5%) · chance of profit at most 12%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.
UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) × 6 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.51 363.18 → 911.58 ₽
UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) × 4 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 102.40 → 242.18 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
+ a third collection

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

7% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 7% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×6
UMP-45 | Riot
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0046
363.18 ₽
at 60.53
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004605f′ (normalized) 0.006578wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 158 · good ≈ 2
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 149) · data 11.10 15:54 MSK
×4
UMP-45 | Late Night Transit
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1651
102.40 ₽
at 25.60
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.165131f′ (normalized) 0.165131wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 1 069 · good ≈ 2
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 299 · from 103.56 ₽ (float 0.1615) · craft not before 19.10 · data 11.10 15:54 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 465.58 ₽ +255.30 (+54.8%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 outcomes come out up to 0.048999, 0.069999, 0.125799, 0.041999, 0.069999, 0.036399, 0.034999, 0.175699 «No higher than» is a guarantee. Take every item with the float at the upper limit and you get exactly the result shown.

What you get 8 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 64%
  • Losing outcome 24%
  • About break-even 12%
in profit
MAC-10 | Derailment
Factory New
float up to 0.048999
749.89 ₽ 13.33%
Steam MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New)net 652.08 ₽The Train 2025 Collection sells 78 a week sell now to a buy order: 671.17 ₽ (you get 583.62 ₽)) · buy orders: 1789 sell on Market.CSGO: 546.28 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 599.00 · lots 91 on CSFloat: from 516.13 ₽ listings: 374 on CS.Money: ~ 563.66 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 497.45 ₽ listings: 568
in profit
Zeus x27 | Charged Up
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
1 088.85 ₽ 13.33%
Steam Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Factory New)net 946.83 ₽The Train 2025 Collection sells 26 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 054.27 ₽ (you get 916.75 ₽)) · buy orders: 1766 sell on Market.CSGO: 766.93 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 840.94 · lots 96 on CSFloat: from 732.59 ₽ listings: 280 on CS.Money: ~ 829.37 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 676.57 ₽ listings: 283
in profit
Tec-9 | Whiteout
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.125799
1 274.13 ₽ 13.33%
Steam Tec-9 | Whiteout (Minimal Wear)net 1 107.94 ₽The Train 2025 Collection sells 112 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 329.46 ₽ (you get 1 156.05 ₽)) · buy orders: 2449 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 044.58 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 145.38 · lots 98 on CSFloat: from 1 007.63 ₽ listings: 579 on CS.Money: ~ 1 206.27 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 021.21 ₽ listings: 621
about break-even
FAMAS | Neural Net
Factory New
float up to 0.041999
527.81 ₽ 12.00%
price without deals
Steam FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New)net 458.97 ₽
by lot · 2 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 537.25 ₽ (you get 467.17 ₽)) · buy orders: 8719 sell on Market.CSGO: 428.61 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 469.97 · lots 46 on CSFloat: from 413.41 ₽ listings: 120 on CS.Money: ~ 459.25 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 423.60 ₽ listings: 192
in profit
best
P2000 | Handgun
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
1 636.88 ₽ 12.00%
Steam P2000 | Handgun (Factory New)net 1 423.37 ₽ sells about 16 a week (data for 6 days of 7)) sell now to a buy order: 1 757.11 ₽ (you get 1 527.92 ₽)) · buy orders: 2687 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 421.59 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 558.77 · lots 28 on CSFloat: from 1 323.42 ₽ listings: 62 on CS.Money: ~ 1 398.12 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 462.64 ₽ listings: 50
in profit
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo
Factory New
float up to 0.036399
764.47 ₽ 12.00%
Steam M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New)net 664.76 ₽ sells 160 a week sell now to a buy order: 777.09 ₽ (you get 675.73 ₽)) · buy orders: 15391 sell on Market.CSGO: 625.22 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 685.55 · lots 56 on CSFloat: from 589.13 ₽ listings: 526 on CS.Money: ~ 707.97 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 624.78 ₽ listings: 804
at a loss
MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart
Factory New
float up to 0.034999
423.89 ₽ 12.00%
Steam MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New)net 368.60 ₽ sells 93 a week sell now to a buy order: 445.46 ₽ (you get 387.35 ₽)) · buy orders: 14789 sell on Market.CSGO: 357.68 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 392.20 · lots 36 on CSFloat: from 363.33 ₽ listings: 205 on CS.Money: ~ 381.15 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 377.76 ₽ listings: 226
at a loss
worst
Negev | Loudmouth
Field-Tested
float up to 0.175699
96.67 ₽ 12.00%
Steam Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested)net 84.06 ₽ sells 247 a week sell now to a buy order: 88.10 ₽ (you get 76.60 ₽)) · buy orders: 17350 sell on Market.CSGO: 65.18 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 71.48 · lots 51 on CSFloat: from 63.67 ₽ listings: 85 on CS.Money: ~ 67.91 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 67.91 ₽ listings: 130

Craft variants Craft variants One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Train 2025 Collection
Variant 2 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
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