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The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +4 676.00₸

Invest 7 041.39₸

Average return 11 717.39₸

ROI +66.4%

Chance of profit 47%

With float: invest at least 17 945.83 ₸, profit at most −6 228.45 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

278.59 ₸

at 278.59

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

399.07 ₸

at 399.07

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

6 363.73 ₸

at 795.47

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7 041.39 ₸ +4 676.00 (+66.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

278.59 ₸

at 278.59

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

1 617.71 ₸

at 323.54

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

798.14 ₸

at 399.07

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

1 590.93 ₸

at 795.47

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 285.37 ₸ +2 703.90 (+63.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

557.18 ₸

at 278.59

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

323.54 ₸

at 323.54

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

399.07 ₸

at 399.07

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

4 772.80 ₸

at 795.47

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6 052.59 ₸ +3 773.57 (+62.4%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 47%
Losing outcome 53%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.036099

3 598.68 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

38 977.75 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.047599

12 525.04 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 148.30 ₸ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

2 821.23 ₸ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 749.38 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

4 086.21 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

2 265.76 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

516.72 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2 128.55 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3 277.49 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 43 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2078503 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4 960.22₸ · invest 6 981.95₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear)
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sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Signal Scanner (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear)
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sells slowly rare inputs

MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162222 instead of 0.161805; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074251 instead of 0.074106
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sells slowly rare inputs

MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear)
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sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2088659 · The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4 833.86₸ · invest 6 983.61₸
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2051773 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4 805.83₸ · invest 7 123.12₸
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163661 instead of 0.161805; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074751 instead of 0.074106
Craft 2089742 · The Vanguard Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 4 799.08₸ · invest 7 389.20₸
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear)
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sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2089553 · The Sport & Field Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4 737.42₸ · invest 7 003.33₸
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2089682 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4 736.67₸ · invest 7 142.31₸
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear)
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sells slowly rare inputs

Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear)
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sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2079910 · The Genesis Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4 714.39₸ · invest 6 878.84₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2088150 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4 695.06₸ · invest 6 987.19₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Yorick (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2077729 · The Gallery Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4 688.78₸ · invest 6 961.00₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MP5-SD | Statics (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2085490 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4 670.31₸ · invest 7 052.45₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167146 instead of 0.161805; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075963 instead of 0.074106
Craft 2075844 · The Fever Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4 664.93₸ · invest 6 833.52₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear)
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sells slowly rare inputs

FAMAS | Decommissioned (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear)
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sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Freight (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear)
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sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167146 instead of 0.161805; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075963 instead of 0.074106
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sells slowly rare inputs

SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear)
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sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165242 instead of 0.161805; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075301 instead of 0.074106
Craft 2086018 · The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4 644.42₸ · invest 7 048.50₸
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164999 instead of 0.161805; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075217 instead of 0.074106
Craft 2087499 · The Recoil Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4 639.55₸ · invest 6 844.15₸
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear)
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sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167286 instead of 0.161805; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076012 instead of 0.074106
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sells slowly rare inputs

P2000 | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear)
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sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear)
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sells slowly rare inputs

Tec-9 | Rebel (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear)
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sells slowly rare inputs

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sells slowly rare inputs

Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165531 instead of 0.161805; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075402 instead of 0.074106
Craft 2079265 · The Gamma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4 622.63₸ · invest 6 995.58₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165193 instead of 0.161805; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075284 instead of 0.074106
Craft 2062544 · The Boreal Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4 618.01₸ · invest 6 940.90₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167286 instead of 0.161805; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076012 instead of 0.074106
Craft 2068865 · The Chroma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4 617.54₸ · invest 7 168.12₸
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167146 instead of 0.161805; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075963 instead of 0.074106
Craft 2087184 · The Radiant Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4 605.82₸ · invest 7 119.06₸
sells slowly rare inputs

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167146 instead of 0.161805; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075963 instead of 0.074106
Craft 2089249 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4 604.10₸ · invest 6 914.66₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Morris (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2089395 · The Spectrum Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4 592.03₸ · invest 6 997.67₸
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167146 instead of 0.161805; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075963 instead of 0.074106
Craft 2057206 · The Achroma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4 572.81₸ · invest 7 109.97₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167340 instead of 0.161805; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076031 instead of 0.074106
Craft 2081435 · The Harlequin Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4 569.17₸ · invest 7 150.86₸
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167387 instead of 0.161805; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076047 instead of 0.074106
Craft 2089683 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4 564.61₸ · invest 6 871.95₸
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164246 instead of 0.161805; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074955 instead of 0.074106
Craft 2063982 · The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4 564.01₸ · invest 7 006.59₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P2000 | Ivory (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2081038 · The Graphic Design Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4 473.41₸ · invest 7 268.99₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Berry Gel Coat (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165362 instead of 0.161805; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075343 instead of 0.074106
Craft 2074093 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4 470.66₸ · invest 7 018.57₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build