Crafts · The Falchion Collection
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The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 2074934 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +849.88₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the needed wear, regardless of float. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase. 1 251.59₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 2 101.47₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +67.9%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 3 117.18₽ · profit at most −1 015.71₽ (−32.6%) · chance of profit at most 22%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.
UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) × 1 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 60.53 → 130.74 ₽
MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) × 2 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 149.32 → 330.00 ₽
UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) × 7 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.55 1 041.74 → 2 656.44 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
+ a third collection

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

7% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 7% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1
UMP-45 | Riot
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0048
60.53 ₽
at 60.53
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004853f′ (normalized) 0.006934wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 158 · good ≈ 2
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 149) · data 11.10 15:54 MSK
×2
MAG-7 | Firestarter
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1659
149.32 ₽
at 74.66
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.165948f′ (normalized) 0.246392wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 125 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 31 · from 140.07 ₽ (float 0.1610) · craft not before 19.10 · data 11.10 15:54 MSK
×7
UMP-45 | Delusion
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0755
1 041.74 ₽
at 148.82
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075547f′ (normalized) 0.053611wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 114 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 82) · data 11.10 15:54 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 1 251.59 ₽ +849.88 (+67.9%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.087499900 outcomes come out up to 0.040124, 0.069999, 0.059499, 0.087499, 0.052499, 0.087499, 0.045499, 0.043749, 0.184624 «No higher than» is a guarantee. Take every item with the float at the upper limit and you get exactly the result shown.

What you get 9 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 55%
at a loss
Glock-18 | Grinder
Factory New
float up to 0.040124
673.26 ₽ 22.50%
Steam Glock-18 | Grinder (Factory New)net 585.44 ₽The Vanguard Collection sells about 59 a week (data for 6 days of 7)) no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 644.76 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 706.98 · lots 77 on CSFloat: from 612.05 ₽ listings: 446 on CS.Money: ~ 662.98 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 668.93 ₽ listings: 225
in profit
best
M4A4 | Griffin
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
7 292.16 ₽ 22.50%
Steam M4A4 | Griffin (Factory New)net 6 341.01 ₽The Vanguard Collection sells 16 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 6 453.20 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 7 075.88 · lots 23 on CSFloat: from 5 618.80 ₽ listings: 62 on CS.Money: ~ 5 947.33 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 737.65 ₽ listings: 112
in profit
M4A1-S | Basilisk
Factory New
float up to 0.059499
2 343.25 ₽ 22.50%
Steam M4A1-S | Basilisk (Factory New)net 2 037.61 ₽The Vanguard Collection sells 44 a week sell now to a buy order: 2 406.50 ₽ (you get 2 092.60 ₽)) · buy orders: 4486 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 941.64 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 129.00 · lots 59 on CSFloat: from 1 910.00 ₽ listings: 190 on CS.Money: ~ 2 123.07 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 990.65 ₽ listings: 201
at a loss
Sawed-Off | Highwayman
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.087499
256.70 ₽ 22.50%
price without deals
Steam Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Minimal Wear)net 223.22 ₽The Vanguard Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 221.74 ₽ (you get 192.81 ₽)) · buy orders: 2903 sell on Market.CSGO: 177.47 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 194.60 · lots 29 on CSFloat: from 175.72 ₽ listings: 15 on CS.Money: ~ 183.36 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 177.42 ₽ listings: 32
at a loss
FAMAS | Neural Net
Factory New
float up to 0.052499
527.81 ₽ 2.00%
price without deals
Steam FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New)net 458.97 ₽
by lot · 2 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 537.25 ₽ (you get 467.17 ₽)) · buy orders: 8719 sell on Market.CSGO: 428.61 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 469.97 · lots 46 on CSFloat: from 413.41 ₽ listings: 120 on CS.Money: ~ 459.25 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 423.60 ₽ listings: 192
at a loss
P2000 | Handgun
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.087499
161.09 ₽ 2.00%
Steam P2000 | Handgun (Minimal Wear)net 140.08 ₽ sells about 73 a week (data for 6 days of 7)) sell now to a buy order: 173.08 ₽ (you get 150.50 ₽)) · buy orders: 7068 sell on Market.CSGO: 132.09 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 144.84 · lots 24 on CSFloat: from 120.54 ₽ listings: 95 on CS.Money: ~ 116.30 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 134.12 ₽ listings: 49
at a loss
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo
Factory New
float up to 0.045499
764.47 ₽ 2.00%
Steam M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New)net 664.76 ₽ sells 160 a week sell now to a buy order: 777.09 ₽ (you get 675.73 ₽)) · buy orders: 15391 sell on Market.CSGO: 625.22 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 685.55 · lots 56 on CSFloat: from 589.13 ₽ listings: 526 on CS.Money: ~ 707.97 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 624.78 ₽ listings: 804
at a loss
MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart
Factory New
float up to 0.043749
423.89 ₽ 2.00%
Steam MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New)net 368.60 ₽ sells 93 a week sell now to a buy order: 445.46 ₽ (you get 387.35 ₽)) · buy orders: 14789 sell on Market.CSGO: 357.68 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 392.20 · lots 36 on CSFloat: from 363.33 ₽ listings: 205 on CS.Money: ~ 381.15 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 377.76 ₽ listings: 226
at a loss
worst
Negev | Loudmouth
Field-Tested
float up to 0.184624
96.67 ₽ 2.00%
Steam Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested)net 84.06 ₽ sells 247 a week sell now to a buy order: 88.10 ₽ (you get 76.60 ₽)) · buy orders: 17350 sell on Market.CSGO: 65.18 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 71.48 · lots 51 on CSFloat: from 63.67 ₽ listings: 85 on CS.Money: ~ 67.91 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 67.91 ₽ listings: 130

Craft variants Craft variants One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.

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