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The Falchion Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +170.79₴

Invest 333.45₴

Average return 504.24₴

ROI +51.2%

Chance of profit 48%

With float: invest at least 816.50 ₴, profit at most −312.25 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

192.29 ₴

at 32.05

Steam

×4

SSG 08 | Necropos

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

141.16 ₴

at 35.29

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 333.45 ₴ +170.79 (+51.2%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0774

27.60 ₴

at 27.60

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

224.34 ₴

at 32.05

Steam

×1

SSG 08 | Necropos

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3864

21.19 ₴

at 21.19

Steam

×1

SSG 08 | Necropos

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1712

35.29 ₴

at 35.29

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 308.42 ₴ +102.53 (+33.2%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 48%
Losing outcome 52%

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

279.46 ₴ 12.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

866.68 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

404.77 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

224.44 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

51.18 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Valence

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

1 382.74 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

in profit

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Factory New

float up to 0.042699

584.24 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Royal Legion

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 942.55 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

float up to 0.031499

251.69 ₴ 8.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Impire

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

347.48 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +87.49 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +138.36 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2082087 · The Horizon Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 197.67₴ · invest 386.19₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SSG 08 | Necropos (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2085498 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 194.13₴ · invest 313.31₴
sells slowly

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SSG 08 | Necropos (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2068054 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 181.57₴ · invest 296.28₴
sells slowly

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SSG 08 | Necropos (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2061269 · The Ascent Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 175.65₴ · invest 383.11₴
sells slowly

P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SSG 08 | Necropos (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164197 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2088175 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 164.30₴ · invest 319.06₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SSG 08 | Necropos (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2068882 · The Chroma Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 162.77₴ · invest 382.06₴
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SSG 08 | Necropos (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2087193 · The Radiant Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 155.81₴ · invest 352.89₴
sells slowly

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SSG 08 | Necropos (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2079286 · The Gamma Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 154.87₴ · invest 290.44₴
sells slowly

SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); SSG 08 | Necropos (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164197 instead of 0.165131

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build