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The Train 2025 Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +886.16₽

Invest 1 336.22₽

Average return 2 222.38₽

ROI +66.3%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 3 398.18 ₽, profit at most −1 175.80 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

71.00 ₽

at 71.00

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

74.66 ₽

at 74.66

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

1 190.56 ₽

at 148.82

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 336.22 ₽ +886.16 (+66.3%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.036099

673.26 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

7 292.16 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.047599

2 343.25 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

589.00 ₽ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

749.89 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 088.85 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.125799

1 274.13 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Train 2025 Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 6 The Train Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +405.63 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +620.71 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Train 2025 Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 43 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

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sells slowly rare inputs

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sells slowly rare inputs

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sells slowly rare inputs

MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162222 instead of 0.161805; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074251 instead of 0.074106
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sells slowly rare inputs

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sells slowly rare inputs

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sells slowly rare inputs

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Craft 2051773 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 899.10₽ · invest 1 332.63₽
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

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sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear)
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sells slowly rare inputs

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sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

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sells slowly rare inputs

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sells slowly rare inputs

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sells slowly rare inputs

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sells slowly rare inputs

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sells slowly rare inputs

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sells slowly rare inputs

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sells slowly rare inputs

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sells slowly rare inputs

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sells slowly rare inputs

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sells slowly rare inputs

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sells slowly rare inputs

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sells slowly rare inputs

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sells slowly rare inputs

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sells slowly rare inputs

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sells slowly rare inputs

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sells slowly rare inputs

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sells slowly rare inputs

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sells slowly rare inputs

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sells slowly rare inputs

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sells slowly rare inputs

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sells slowly rare inputs

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sells slowly rare inputs

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sells slowly rare inputs

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sells slowly rare inputs

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sells slowly rare inputs

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167146 instead of 0.161805; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075963 instead of 0.074106
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sells slowly rare inputs

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sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167146 instead of 0.161805; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075963 instead of 0.074106
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sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167340 instead of 0.161805; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076031 instead of 0.074106
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sells slowly rare inputs

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sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; Zeus x27 | Charged Up: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164246 instead of 0.161805; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074955 instead of 0.074106
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sells slowly rare inputs

P2000 | Ivory (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2081038 · The Graphic Design Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 836.91₽ · invest 1 359.92₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Berry Gel Coat (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165362 instead of 0.161805; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075343 instead of 0.074106
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sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Train 2025 Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build