Knives and gloves · The Breakout Collection
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The Breakout Collection + The Falchion Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5 About the craft Craft 2090524 · ways to build: 4 A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. −8 958.80₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the needed wear, regardless of float. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase. 93 954.51₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 84 995.71₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. −9.5%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 43%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 218 808.26₽ · profit at most −133 812.55₽ (−61.2%) · chance of profit at most 6%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.
M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) × 4 11% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 77 397.64 → 183 045.42 ₽
AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New) × 1 11% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 16 556.87 → 35 762.84 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
The gain is understated. 3 outcome has no price on Steam: it is above its cap and is not listed on the market. It counts as zero in the calculation and accounts for 13.8% of the probability.
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat / Market.CSGO, outcomes: 11. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float. They account for 58.5% of the probability. Money from the marketplace can be withdrawn, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is −78 836.35 ₽.
+ a third collection

How to build Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

11% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×4
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0075
77 397.64 ₽
at 19 349.41
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007507f′ (normalized) 0.015014wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 125 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new listings per day: fewer than one · among lots up to 23 856.01 ₽
×1
AWP | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0075
16 556.87 ₽
at 16 556.87
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007507f′ (normalized) 0.007507wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 27 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 50 000.00 ₽
Set · 5 pcs 93 954.51 ₽ −8 958.80 (−9.5%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.013513414 outcomes come out up to 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000 «No higher than» is a guarantee. Take every item with the float at the upper limit and you get exactly the result shown.

What you get 26 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 37%
  • Losing outcome 37%
  • About break-even 12%
  • Above the Steam cap 14%
in profit
★ Butterfly Knife | Fade
Factory New
float up to 0.001081
160 090.86 ₽ 6.15%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 156 889.04 ₽ no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 160 090.86 ₽ listings 280 · you get 156 889.04 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 178 481.05 ₽ (you get 155 200.91 ₽)) · buy orders: 3645 sell on Market.CSGO: 172 368.00 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 189 000.00 · lots 20 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 160 090.86 ₽ listings: 280 on CS.Money: ~ 186 720.74 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 176 232.98 ₽ listings: 168
in profit
★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter
Factory New
float up to 0.013378
105 106.77 ₽ 6.15%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 103 004.63 ₽ no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 105 106.77 ₽ listings 156 · you get 103 004.63 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 161 409.59 ₽ (you get 140 356.16 ₽)) · buy orders: 1378 sell on Market.CSGO: 115 824.00 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 127 000.00 · lots 11 on CSFloat: from 105 106.77 ₽ listings: 156 on CS.Money: ~ 124 203.43 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 113 515.31 ₽ listings: 33
about break-even
★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel
Factory New
float up to 0.013513
93 098.45 ₽ 6.15%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)net 91 236.48 ₽ no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 93 098.45 ₽ listings 10 · you get 91 236.48 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 100 422.31 ₽ (you get 87 323.74 ₽)) · buy orders: 505 sell on Market.CSGO: 100 598.50 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 110 305.38 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 93 098.45 ₽ listings: 10 on CS.Money: ~ 99 005.83 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 93 940.66 ₽ listings: 7
about break-even
★ Butterfly Knife | Stained
Factory New
float up to 0.013513
109 096.76 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Stained (Factory New)net 94 866.75 ₽
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 90 355.98 ₽ (you get 78 570.41 ₽)) · buy orders: 361 Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price on CSFloat: from 73 948.30 ₽ listings: 5 on CS.Money: ~ 78 197.57 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 77 803.63 ₽ listings: 8
in profit
★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened
Factory New
float up to 0.013513
101 880.55 ₽ 6.15%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 99 842.93 ₽ no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 101 880.55 ₽ listings 20 · you get 99 842.93 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 145 387.72 ₽ (you get 126 424.10 ₽)) · buy orders: 414 Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price on CSFloat: from 101 880.55 ₽ listings: 20 on CS.Money: ~ 111 403.84 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 109 432.45 ₽ listings: 6
at a loss
★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
59 444.76 ₽ 6.15%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 58 255.86 ₽ no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 59 444.76 ₽ listings 5 · you get 58 255.86 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 61 024.67 ₽ (you get 53 064.93 ₽)) · buy orders: 127 Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price on CSFloat: from 59 444.76 ₽ listings: 5 Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New) sell now to a buy order: 79 598.56 ₽ (you get 69 216.13 ₽)) · buy orders: 134 not listed on Market.CSGO right now CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price on CS.Money: ~ 68 222.62 ₽ Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
in profit
best
★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
299 676.56 ₽ 6.15%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 293 683.02 ₽ no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 299 676.56 ₽ listings 4 · you get 293 683.02 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 176 887.99 ₽ (you get 153 815.64 ₽)) · buy orders: 177 not listed on Market.CSGO right now on CSFloat: from 299 676.56 ₽ listings: 4 on CS.Money: ~ 376 617.60 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 364 967.56 ₽ listings: 4
in profit
★ Butterfly Knife | Night
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
169 716.02 ₽ 6.15%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Night (Factory New)net 166 321.69 ₽ no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 169 716.02 ₽ listings 3 · you get 166 321.69 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 106 133.39 ₽ (you get 92 289.90 ₽)) · buy orders: 153 Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price on CSFloat: from 169 716.02 ₽ listings: 3 Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
at a loss
★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
72 165.39 ₽ 6.15%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 70 722.08 ₽ no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 72 165.39 ₽ listings 7 · you get 70 722.08 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 74 343.07 ₽ (you get 64 646.14 ₽)) · buy orders: 252 not listed on Market.CSGO right now on CSFloat: from 72 165.39 ₽ listings: 7 Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
★ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New) sell now to a buy order: 58 857.73 ₽ (you get 51 180.63 ₽)) · buy orders: 124 Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 59 074.59 ₽ listings: 10
at a loss
★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
86 428.67 ₽ 6.15%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)net 84 700.09 ₽ no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 86 428.67 ₽ listings 11 · you get 84 700.09 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 68 293.66 ₽ (you get 59 385.79 ₽)) · buy orders: 146 not listed on Market.CSGO right now on CSFloat: from 86 428.67 ₽ listings: 11 Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
in profit
★ Butterfly Knife
no wear
119 549.21 ₽ 6.15%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knifenet 103 955.83 ₽ sells 1 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 109 440.00 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 120 000.00 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 91 691.65 ₽ listings: 91 on CS.Money: ~ 107 513.70 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 96 171.00 ₽ listings: 85
at a loss
★ Falchion Knife | Fade
Factory New
float up to 0.001081
21 752.18 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Falchion Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 18 914.94 ₽The Falchion Collection
by lot · 2 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 20 871.49 ₽ (you get 18 149.12 ₽)) · buy orders: 845 sell on Market.CSGO: 16 826.40 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 18 450.00 · lots 20 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 15 537.63 ₽ listings: 102 on CS.Money: ~ 17 759.48 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 16 345.04 ₽ listings: 39
at a loss
★ Falchion Knife | Slaughter
Factory New
float up to 0.013378
20 772.71 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Falchion Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 18 063.23 ₽The Falchion Collection
by lot · 1 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 21 230.84 ₽ (you get 18 461.60 ₽)) · buy orders: 386 sell on Market.CSGO: 17 783.99 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 19 499.99 · lots 9 on CSFloat: from 18 167.85 ₽ listings: 21 on CS.Money: ~ 18 573.67 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 20 000.85 ₽ listings: 6
at a loss
★ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel
Factory New
float up to 0.013513
31 837.91 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)net 27 685.14 ₽The Falchion Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 24 885.27 ₽ (you get 21 639.36 ₽)) · buy orders: 142 not listed on Market.CSGO right now CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price on CS.Money: ~ 27 559.54 ₽
at a loss
★ Falchion Knife | Stained
Factory New
float up to 0.013513
14 881.25 ₽ 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Falchion Knife | Stained (Factory New)net 12 940.22 ₽The Falchion Collection sells 3 a week sell now to a buy order: 12 565.94 ₽ (you get 10 926.90 ₽)) · buy orders: 130 Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
at a loss
★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened
Factory New
float up to 0.013513
38 600.00 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 33 565.22 ₽The Falchion Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 31 573.53 ₽ (you get 27 455.24 ₽)) · buy orders: 162 sell on Market.CSGO: 27 214.17 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 29 840.10 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 24 784.14 ₽ listings: 13 on Lis-Skins: from 28 914.55 ₽ listings: 3
at a loss
★ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
25 000.00 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 21 739.13 ₽The Falchion Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
at a loss
★ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
23 185.39 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New)net 20 161.21 ₽The Falchion Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
★ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)The Falchion Collection sell now to a buy order: 57 486.69 ₽ (you get 49 988.42 ₽)) · buy orders: 40 Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
at a loss
★ Falchion Knife | Night
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
33 006.51 ₽ 1.54%
sell on Market.CSGO pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Falchion Knife | Night (Factory New)net 31 356.18 ₽The Falchion Collection no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 33 006.51 ₽ listings 3 · you get 31 356.18 ₽ (5.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 23 236.42 ₽ (you get 20 205.58 ₽)) · buy orders: 99 sell on Market.CSGO: 30 101.93 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 33 006.51 · lots 3 CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 33 930.47 ₽ listings: 3
at a loss
★ Falchion Knife | Scorched
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
12 307.17 ₽ 1.54%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Falchion Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 12 061.02 ₽The Falchion Collection no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 12 307.17 ₽ listings 3 · you get 12 061.02 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 8 261.88 ₽ (you get 7 184.24 ₽)) · buy orders: 111 not listed on Market.CSGO right now on CSFloat: from 12 307.17 ₽ listings: 3
at a loss
★ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
15 500.00 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)net 13 478.26 ₽The Falchion Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 10 717.87 ₽ (you get 9 319.88 ₽)) · buy orders: 62 not listed on Market.CSGO right now on Lis-Skins: from 13 581.53 ₽ listings: 5
at a loss
★ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
14 206.36 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)net 12 353.36 ₽The Falchion Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 9 832.89 ₽ (you get 8 550.33 ₽)) · buy orders: 46 not listed on Market.CSGO right now CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
at a loss
worst
★ Falchion Knife
no wear
9 762.76 ₽ 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Falchion Knifenet 8 489.36 ₽The Falchion Collection sells 21 a week sell now to a buy order: 9 537.99 ₽ (you get 8 293.90 ₽)) · buy orders: 1984 sell on Market.CSGO: 8 479.10 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 9 297.26 · lots 16 on CSFloat: from 8 257.42 ₽ listings: 33 on CS.Money: ~ 8 985.02 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 8 304.11 ₽ listings: 32

Craft variants Craft variants One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Falchion Collection
Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Clutch Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Arms Deal 2 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
Chains Pretty floats Interesting Cases Favorites From inventory Proven in practice How crafts work