The Revolution Collection + The Breakout Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit +388.17$

Invest 612.97$

Average return 1 001.14$

ROI +63.3%

Chance of profit 54%

With float: invest at least 1 402.95 $, profit at most −401.82 $

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 3.1% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −318.19 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

less than 1% of lots fit ≈ enough for 1 contract · medium (by listings)

×4

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

385.06 $

at 96.27

Steam

×1

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

227.91 $

at 227.91

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 612.97 $ +388.17 (+63.3%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 54%
Losing outcome 40%
About break-even 3%
Above the Steam cap 3%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

613.88 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 125.41 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Overprint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

503.08 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

315.35 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Turtle

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

498.74 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | POW!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

749.95 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Polygon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

968.18 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Transport

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

341.38 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 398.11 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | King Snake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 452.68 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Overtake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

411.89 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

155.65 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 585.86 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

284.24 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 016.68 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

816.30 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Omega

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 243.40 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Vice

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 599.99 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 360.51 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

683.15 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

260.02 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

563.84 $ 3.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

158.89 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

204.23 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

1 885.63 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

1 238.00 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

1 096.56 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

1 284.99 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

1 200.00 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

700.17 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 529.73 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 999.00 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

850.00 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 018.00 $ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife

no wear

1 408.11 $ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Revolution Collection + The Breakout Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 6 The Arms Deal 2 Collection instead of The Revolution Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +350.82 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +395.06 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Revolution Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2091165 · The Revolution Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 430.57$ · invest 606.08$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2091168 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 430.57$ · invest 606.08$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2091885 · The Vanguard Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 388.99$ · invest 485.08$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.011923 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2091888 · The Revolution Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 388.99$ · invest 485.08$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.011923 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2090558 · The Breakout Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 388.17$ · invest 612.97$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Revolution Collection + The Breakout Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build