The Operation Hydra Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +21 681.86₴

Invest 109 011.46₴

Average return 130 693.32₴

ROI +19.9%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 256 659.87 ₴, profit at most −125 966.54 ₴

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 10.0% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −95 273.00 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

18% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×4

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0128

103 390.74 ₴

at 25 847.69

Steam

×1

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0128

5 620.72 ₴

at 5 620.72

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 109 011.46 ₴ +21 681.86 (+19.9%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 5.0% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −5 080 ₴

17% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0117

51 695.37 ₴

at 25 847.69

Steam

×3

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0117

16 862.16 ₴

at 5 620.72

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 68 557.53 ₴ +4 382.91 (+6.4%)

What you get 54 outcomes

Profitable outcome 20%
Losing outcome 70%
Above the Steam cap 10%

Order

★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Badlands

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

79 194.01 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Leather

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

44 952.58 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

51 853.26 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

30 028.33 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Boom!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

72 373.53 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

153 216.49 ₴ 3.33%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

46 750.69 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Convoy

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

33 352.29 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

98 670.92 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

75 471.29 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

26 971.55 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

189 512.90 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

404 573.26 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

77 381.83 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 317 110.74 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Arid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

130 362.50 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

966 480.13 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

46 525.84 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

25 623.33 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

69 432.94 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

17 980.59 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

69 689.54 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.006486

36 800.38 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

75 786.91 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.011486

77 768.46 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

57 860.78 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

35 737.62 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

11 569.01 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.006486

5 434.01 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.008783

9 396.83 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.011486

10 060.01 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

5 699.41 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

4 137.54 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

4 652.58 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.006486

3 059.17 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

6 743.15 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.011486

5 080.10 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

3 507.68 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

2 146.93 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

9 757.50 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.006486

4 061.93 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

8 341.11 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.011486

8 807.50 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

4 334.49 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

3 101.73 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

10 314.88 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.006486

4 011.52 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.008783

7 147.90 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.011486

11 201.61 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

5 844.16 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

3 440.82 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New) × 4 18% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 103 390.74 → 244 519.11 ₴

MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) × 1 18% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 5 620.72 → 12 140.76 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.013513414

outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.006486, 0.013513, 0.011486, 0.013513, 0.006756, 0.001081, 0.006486, 0.008783, 0.011486, 0.013513, 0.006756, 0.001081, 0.006486, 0.013513, 0.011486, 0.013513, 0.006756, 0.001081, 0.006486, 0.013513, 0.011486, 0.013513, 0.006756, 0.001081, 0.006486, 0.008783, 0.011486, 0.013513, 0.006756

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Operation Hydra Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 4 only The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 5 The Clutch Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +20 051.75 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +20 760.27 ₴ historical median

3% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Operation Hydra Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 29 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

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Craft 2091702 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 22 008.51₴ · invest 108 284.90₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

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no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

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no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
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no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

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no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

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no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

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no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

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no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

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no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

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no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.012869
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no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.011261 instead of 0.012869
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no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.011261 instead of 0.012869
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no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

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Craft 2090700 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 20 890.01₴ · invest 111 112.07₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.010858 instead of 0.012869
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no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.012869
Craft 2091700 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 20 878.60₴ · invest 109 414.81₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.012869

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Operation Hydra Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 54 outcomes

More

How to build