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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +1 742.15₸

Invest 2 866.88₸

Average return 4 609.04₸

ROI +60.8%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 7 179.85 ₸, profit at most −2 570.87 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

5% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MAC-10 | Calf Skin

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

64.41 ₸

at 64.41

Steam

×8

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

2 296.29 ₸

at 287.04

Steam

×1

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

506.19 ₸

at 506.19

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 2 866.88 ₸ +1 742.15 (+60.8%)

5% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MAC-10 | Calf Skin

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

64.41 ₸

at 64.41

Steam

×3

Glock-18 | High Beam

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

227.54 ₸

at 75.85

Steam

×1

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

138.76 ₸

at 138.76

souvenirSteam

×5

P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

1 322.40 ₸

at 264.48

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 753.11 ₸ +1 464.10 (+83.5%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

at a loss

M249 | Humidor

Factory New

float up to 0.063636

1 914.91 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 557.85 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

float up to 0.062363

1 806.19 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 056.69 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Converter

Factory New

float up to 0.050909

782.69 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

float up to 0.010181

314.94 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.127272

508.17 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Check Engine

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.076363

388.54 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection

Variant 2 The Ancient Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 3 only The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 6 The Boreal Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +877.78 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 235.06 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The 2021 Mirage Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2103789 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Arabesque Collection · profit 1 753.63₸ · invest 2 857.00₸
SCAR-20 | Sirocco Script (Minimal Wear) instead of MAC-10 | Calf Skin (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2104647 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 1 748.64₸ · invest 2 861.59₸
SCAR-20 | Arctic Camo Panels (Minimal Wear) instead of MAC-10 | Calf Skin (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2103715 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Achroma Collection · profit 1 713.27₸ · invest 2 871.91₸
FAMAS | Vendetta (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Calf Skin (Minimal Wear); CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074497 instead of 0.074385; Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New): float at most 0.003935 instead of 0.003837

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build