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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +47.54₴

Invest 420.36₴

Average return 467.90₴

ROI +11.3%

Chance of profit 35%

With float: invest at least 1 044.88 ₴, profit at most −576.98 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4852

66.71 ₴

at 66.71

Steam

×1

P2000 | Handgun

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3844

35.29 ₴

at 35.29

Steam

×8

P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

318.36 ₴

at 39.80

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 420.36 ₴ +47.54 (+11.3%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 35%
Losing outcome 65%

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Field-Tested

float up to 0.218749

206.76 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 157.21 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

float up to 0.218749

219.82 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Control Panel

Field-Tested

float up to 0.218749

1 146.29 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Tec-9 | Remote Control

Field-Tested

float up to 0.218749

112.69 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 4 The Chroma 2 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Breakout Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −36.31 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +18.13 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2124517 · The Falchion Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 52.61₴ · invest 416.66₴
rare inputs

Tec-9 | Whiteout (Battle-Scarred) instead of MAG-7 | Core Breach (Battle-Scarred); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.385403 instead of 0.384481; P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167754 instead of 0.164725
Craft 2123956 · The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 51.66₴ · invest 393.94₴
rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Eco (Well-Worn) instead of MAG-7 | Core Breach (Battle-Scarred); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.386464 instead of 0.384481; P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested): float at most 0.171240 instead of 0.164725
Craft 2116900 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 49.21₴ · invest 415.73₴
rare inputs

SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader (Battle-Scarred) instead of MAG-7 | Core Breach (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 2123957 · The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 48.08₴ · invest 391.59₴
rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Eco (Battle-Scarred) instead of MAG-7 | Core Breach (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 2124385 · The Falchion Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 47.68₴ · invest 427.25₴
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Embargo (Well-Worn) instead of MAG-7 | Core Breach (Battle-Scarred); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.388042 instead of 0.384481; P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested): float at most 0.176426 instead of 0.164725

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build