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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +131.80₽

Invest 411.58₽

Average return 543.38₽

ROI +32.0%

Chance of profit 85%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 1 040.25₽ · profit at most −496.87₽ (−47.8%) · chance of profit at most 0%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) × 8 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.59 343.84 → 890.55 ₽

SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear) × 2 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 67.74 → 149.71 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

+ a third collection

How to build

7% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 7% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×8

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

343.84 ₽

at 42.98

Steam

×2

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

67.74 ₽

at 33.87

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 411.58 ₽ +131.80 (+32.0%)

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

P90 | Facility Negative

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

14.86 ₽

at 14.86

Steam

×2

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

85.96 ₽

at 42.98

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

21.47 ₽

at 21.47

Steam

×6

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

203.22 ₽

at 33.87

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 325.51 ₽ +31.14 (+9.6%)

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

P90 | Facility Negative

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

14.86 ₽

at 14.86

Steam

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

171.92 ₽

at 42.98

Steam

×5

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

169.35 ₽

at 33.87

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 356.13 ₽ +75.21 (+21.1%)

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×7

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

300.86 ₽

at 42.98

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Scumbria

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

25.13 ₽

at 25.13

Steam

×2

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

67.74 ₽

at 33.87

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 393.73 ₽ +112.30 (+28.5%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 80%
Losing outcome 15%
About break-even 5%

in profit

best

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 064.65 ₽ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.097999

509.25 ₽ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

558.46 ₽ 26.67%

Steam

about break-even

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.125999

496.13 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

214.79 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.086799

157.00 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Wingshot

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.125999

257.26 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Cache Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +44.64 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +115.42 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2101356 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2018 Nuke Collection · profit 144.48₽ · invest 486.68₽
pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New), P90 | Facility Negative (Field-Tested) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 8; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074480 instead of 0.075675
Craft 2102357 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 141.65₽ · invest 384.70₽
P250 | Bullfrog (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077777 instead of 0.075675
Craft 2102264 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 141.09₽ · invest 383.80₽
Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077777 instead of 0.075675
Craft 2102400 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 140.31₽ · invest 420.50₽
UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074242 instead of 0.075675
Craft 2102313 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 137.40₽ · invest 370.36₽
P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.075675
Craft 2102044 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Achroma Collection · profit 137.23₽ · invest 409.10₽
P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear), P2000 | Grip Tape (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074184 instead of 0.075675
Craft 2102544 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 127.48₽ · invest 418.82₽
rare inputs

FAMAS | Crypsis (Minimal Wear), MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074396 instead of 0.075675

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shadow Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build