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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +7.45$

Invest 12.98$

Average return 20.43$

ROI +57.4%

Chance of profit 62%

With float: invest at least 31.31 $, profit at most −10.88 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

2.02 $

at 0.51

Steam

×5

P90 | Facility Negative

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

9.19 $

at 1.84

Steam

×1

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

1.77 $

at 1.77

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 12.98 $ +7.45 (+57.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

1.52 $

at 0.51

Steam

×3

P90 | Facility Negative

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

5.51 $

at 1.84

Steam

×3

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

5.31 $

at 1.77

Steam

×1

M249 | Magma

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

2.82 $

at 2.82

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 15.17 $ +2.05 (+13.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

1.01 $

at 0.51

Steam

×3

P90 | Facility Negative

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

5.51 $

at 1.84

Steam

×1

M249 | Magma

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

1.65 $

at 1.65

Steam

×4

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

7.08 $

at 1.77

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 15.25 $ +0.89 (+5.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

2.02 $

at 0.51

Steam

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

7.35 $

at 1.84

Steam

×1

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

1.77 $

at 1.77

Steam

×1

M249 | Magma

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

2.82 $

at 2.82

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13.97 $ +5.39 (+38.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

1.52 $

at 0.51

Steam

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

7.35 $

at 1.84

Steam

×1

M249 | Magma

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

1.65 $

at 1.65

Steam

×2

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

3.54 $

at 1.77

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14.06 $ +4.23 (+30.1%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 32%
Losing outcome 38%
About break-even 30%

at a loss

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

12.54 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

46.60 $ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15.04 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Dual Berettas | Marina

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.081499

7.26 $ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Pulse

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

26.88 $ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Rose Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.020999

7.43 $ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Rising Skull

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

8.04 $ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 3 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 5 The Cache Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 6 The Anubis Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4.45 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5.90 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2102689 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 7.91$ · invest 12.23$
sells slowly pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077777 instead of 0.074675; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.006805 instead of 0.004090
Craft 2102587 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 7.90$ · invest 11.61$
sells slowly

SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077833 instead of 0.074675; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.006854 instead of 0.004090
Craft 2102356 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 7.79$ · invest 12.00$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077943 instead of 0.074675; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.006950 instead of 0.004090
Craft 2102263 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 7.77$ · invest 12.03$
sells slowly

UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077943 instead of 0.074675; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.006950 instead of 0.004090
Craft 2102456 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Lake Collection · profit 7.75$ · invest 11.67$
sells slowly

SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075056 instead of 0.074675; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.004424 instead of 0.004090
Craft 2102149 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Bank Collection · profit 7.68$ · invest 12.85$
sells slowly

Desert Eagle | Meteorite (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076478 instead of 0.074675; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.005668 instead of 0.004090
Craft 2102310 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 7.68$ · invest 11.90$
sells slowly

MAG-7 | Resupply (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077943 instead of 0.074675; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.006950 instead of 0.004090
Craft 2102434 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 7.64$ · invest 11.86$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077688 instead of 0.074675; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.006727 instead of 0.004090
Craft 2102418 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 7.60$ · invest 12.68$
sells slowly

SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested) instead of PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076612 instead of 0.074675; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.005785 instead of 0.004090
Craft 2102629 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 7.56$ · invest 11.92$
sells slowly

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077392 instead of 0.074675; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.006468 instead of 0.004090
Craft 2102738 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Train Collection · profit 7.49$ · invest 11.91$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077392 instead of 0.074675; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.006468 instead of 0.004090

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build