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The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Ancient Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +57.49₴

Invest 107.06₴

Average return 164.55₴

ROI +53.7%

Chance of profit 70%

With float: invest at least 257.28 ₴, profit at most −92.73 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

5.31 ₴

at 5.31

souvenirSteam

×5

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1650

49.29 ₴

at 9.86

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

52.46 ₴

at 13.12

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 107.06 ₴ +57.49 (+53.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

10.61 ₴

at 5.31

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

39.44 ₴

at 9.86

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

52.46 ₴

at 13.12

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 102.51 ₴ +53.69 (+52.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

26.53 ₴

at 5.31

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir Sawed-Off | Parched

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

35.43 ₴

at 8.86

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

9.86 ₴

at 9.86

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 71.82 ₴ +25.86 (+36.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

15.92 ₴

at 5.31

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

29.58 ₴

at 9.86

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

52.46 ₴

at 13.12

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 97.95 ₴ +49.88 (+50.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

26.53 ₴

at 5.31

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir Sawed-Off | Parched

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

26.57 ₴

at 8.86

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

9.86 ₴

at 9.86

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

13.12 ₴

at 13.12

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 76.07 ₴ +29.96 (+39.4%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 28%
About break-even 2%

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Silver

Factory New

float up to 0.007368

94.41 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

239.32 ₴ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Panther Camo

Factory New

float up to 0.046052

230.16 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Tall Grass

Factory New

float up to 0.059868

231.51 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

AUG | Spalted Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.044210

69.49 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

Five-SeveN | Withered Vine

Factory New

float up to 0.046052

154.42 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M249 | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.046052

65.59 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

about break-even

MP9 | Old Roots

Factory New

float up to 0.046052

121.38 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Ancient Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 3 The Rising Sun Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 4 only The Ancient Collection Variant 5 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 6 The Lake Collection instead of The Ancient Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +19.96 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +40.62 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Dust 2 Collection and The Ancient Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2107821 · The Ancient Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 59.69₴ · invest 109.91₴
sells slowly

Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Minimal Wear); Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165725 instead of 0.165025; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004786 instead of 0.004572
Craft 2107652 · The Ancient Collection + The Havoc Collection · profit 59.16₴ · invest 130.68₴
profit on prices without salesat least −8 ₴ rare inputs

M249 | Predator (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Minimal Wear); Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161940 instead of 0.165025; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.003634 instead of 0.004572
Craft 2105133 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 57.38₴ · invest 117.26₴
profit on prices without salesat least −0 ₴ rare inputs

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2107653 · The Ancient Collection + The Havoc Collection · profit 57.20₴ · invest 130.68₴
profit on prices without salesat least −8 ₴ rare inputs

M249 | Predator (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Minimal Wear); Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165725 instead of 0.165025; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004786 instead of 0.004572
Craft 2107191 · The Ancient Collection + The Anubis Collection · profit 56.32₴ · invest 103.71₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir M249 | Submerged (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Minimal Wear); Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162092 instead of 0.165025; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.003680 instead of 0.004572

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Ancient Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build