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The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +6.30$

Invest 18.34$

Average return 24.65$

ROI +34.4%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 42.54 $, profit at most −17.89 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

8% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1675

11.94 $

at 5.97

souvenirSteam

×1

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

0.45 $

at 0.45

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

5.95 $

at 0.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 18.34 $ +6.30 (+34.4%)

8% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1685

5.97 $

at 5.97

souvenirSteam

×5

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

2.26 $

at 0.45

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

3.40 $

at 0.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11.63 $ +4.48 (+38.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 $

7% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1669

11.94 $

at 5.97

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

9.43 $

at 9.43

souvenirSteam

×1

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

0.45 $

at 0.45

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

5.10 $

at 0.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 26.92 $ +6.26 (+23.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −5 $

7% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

11.94 $

at 5.97

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

18.85 $

at 9.43

souvenirSteam

×1

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

0.45 $

at 0.45

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

4.25 $

at 0.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 35.50 $ +6.22 (+17.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −7 $

7% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

11.94 $

at 5.97

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

28.28 $

at 9.43

souvenirSteam

×1

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

0.45 $

at 0.45

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

3.40 $

at 0.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 44.07 $ +6.18 (+14.0%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 20%
Losing outcome 80%

at a loss

worst

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8.50 $ 40.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8.92 $ 40.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Red DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.049999

190.27 $ 6.67%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

36.03 $ 6.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Orange Anolis

Factory New

float up to 0.036999

94.30 $ 6.67%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 4 The Ascent Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2.39 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +6.68 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Dust 2 Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2102948 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 6.89$ · invest 18.96$
rare inputs pricier variants exist

P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170239 instead of 0.167563
Craft 2103459 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 6.62$ · invest 17.81$
rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168575 instead of 0.167563
Craft 2103007 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 6.51$ · invest 14.91$
rare inputs pricier variants exist

XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170239 instead of 0.167563
Craft 2103059 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 6.29$ · invest 23.61$
profit on prices without salesat least −2 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Factory New), Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161917 instead of 0.167563
Craft 2102847 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Achroma Collection · profit 5.58$ · invest 18.02$
rare inputs pricier variants exist

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170962 instead of 0.167563
Craft 2103267 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 5.46$ · invest 70.32$
profit on prices without salesat least −17 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Factory New), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161592 instead of 0.167563
Craft 2103080 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 5.38$ · invest 69.29$
profit on prices without salesat least −16 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Factory New), SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161712 instead of 0.167563
Craft 2103175 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 5.33$ · invest 69.86$
profit on prices without salesat least −17 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Factory New), SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161834 instead of 0.167563

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build