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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The 2021 Vertigo Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +3.63$

Invest 7.83$

Average return 11.46$

ROI +46.4%

Chance of profit 25%

With float: invest at least 18.61 $, profit at most −7.15 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

4.08 $

at 0.58

Steam

×2

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

2.23 $

at 1.12

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

1.52 $

at 1.52

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 7.83 $ +3.63 (+46.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1748

0.92 $

at 0.31

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0786

3.03 $

at 1.52

souvenirSteam

×5

Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

8.83 $

at 1.77

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 12.79 $ +0.38 (+3.0%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 25%
Losing outcome 73%
About break-even 2%

at a loss

M249 | Humidor

Factory New

float up to 0.063636

4.22 $ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7.84 $ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

float up to 0.062363

3.98 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

35.38 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Green Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.068363

40.57 $ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

Negev | Infrastructure

Factory New

float up to 0.062363

7.93 $ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Interlock

Factory New

float up to 0.063636

6.99 $ 2.50%

Steam

about break-even

P90 | Schematic

Factory New

float up to 0.063636

8.97 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The 2021 Vertigo Collection

Variant 2 The Ancient Collection instead of The 2021 Vertigo Collection Variant 3 only The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The 2021 Vertigo Collection Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The 2021 Vertigo Collection Variant 6 The Boreal Collection instead of The 2021 Vertigo Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.44 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.38 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The 2021 Vertigo Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2103774 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Anubis Collection · profit 3.82$ · invest 6.54$
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir SSG 08 | Azure Glyph (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Minimal Wear); P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074051 instead of 0.074226; Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New): float at most 0.003545 instead of 0.003698
Craft 2104376 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 3.73$ · invest 6.40$
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Minimal Wear); P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075685 instead of 0.074226; Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New): float at most 0.004974 instead of 0.003698
Craft 2101388 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection · profit 3.69$ · invest 6.48$
rare inputs

Glock-18 | High Beam (Factory New) instead of Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Minimal Wear); P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074199 instead of 0.074226; Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New): float at most 0.003674 instead of 0.003698
Craft 2104279 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 3.68$ · invest 6.50$
rare inputs

P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Minimal Wear); P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075538 instead of 0.074226; Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New): float at most 0.004846 instead of 0.003698
Craft 2104465 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 3.68$ · invest 6.44$
rare inputs

SG 553 | Basket Halftone (Factory New) instead of Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Minimal Wear); P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076182 instead of 0.074226; Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New): float at most 0.005409 instead of 0.003698
Craft 2103900 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 3.67$ · invest 6.46$
rare inputs

MAC-10 | Acid Hex (Factory New) instead of Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Minimal Wear); P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076166 instead of 0.074226; Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New): float at most 0.005396 instead of 0.003698
Craft 2104554 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 3.66$ · invest 6.47$
rare inputs

AUG | Condemned (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Minimal Wear); P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075538 instead of 0.074226; Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New): float at most 0.004846 instead of 0.003698
Craft 2103834 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 3.65$ · invest 6.48$
rare inputs

XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo (Factory New) instead of Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Minimal Wear); P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076182 instead of 0.074226; Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New): float at most 0.005409 instead of 0.003698
Craft 2104077 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Dust 2 Collection · profit 3.63$ · invest 6.51$
rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Minimal Wear); P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075538 instead of 0.074226; Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New): float at most 0.004846 instead of 0.003698
Craft 2104311 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Lake Collection · profit 3.58$ · invest 6.55$
rare inputs

FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Minimal Wear); P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075538 instead of 0.074226; Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New): float at most 0.004846 instead of 0.003698
Craft 2104194 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Graphic Design Collection · profit 3.52$ · invest 6.77$
rare inputs

Galil AR | NV (Factory New) instead of Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Minimal Wear); P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076060 instead of 0.074226; Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New): float at most 0.005302 instead of 0.003698

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The 2021 Vertigo Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build