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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +20.02$

Invest 11.85$

Average return 31.87$

ROI +168.9%

Chance of profit 46%

With float: invest at least 29.28 $, profit at most +2.59 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

4.02 $

at 4.02

souvenirSteam

×9

XM1014 | Slipstream

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

7.83 $

at 0.87

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11.85 $ +20.02 (+168.9%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 46%
Losing outcome 54%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Directive

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

111.94 $ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Weasel

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

45.00 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAG-7 | Petroglyph

Factory New

float up to 0.004680

2.39 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

SCAR-20 | Powercore

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

4.30 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Triarch

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

4.07 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

AUG | Sand Storm

Factory New

float up to 0.005319

39.33 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.067872

113.11 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

float up to 0.003936

41.56 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Gamma 2 Collection Variant 4 only The Gamma 2 Collection Variant 5 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +11.12 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +19.18 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Gamma 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 12 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2128055 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 20.17$ · invest 10.84$
profit on prices without salesat least −2 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005219 instead of 0.005308
Craft 2107568 · The Ancient Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 19.51$ · invest 11.98$
profit on prices without salesat least −1 $ rare inputs

Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.004735 instead of 0.005308
Craft 2127965 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 19.03$ · invest 10.09$
profit on prices without salesat least −1 $ rare inputs

G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.004835 instead of 0.005308
Craft 2127838 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 18.83$ · invest 9.95$
profit on prices without salesat least −1 $ rare inputs

M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.003669 instead of 0.005308
Craft 2102340 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 18.73$ · invest 9.67$
sells slowly

P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005319 instead of 0.005308
Craft 2127452 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 18.52$ · invest 8.74$
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005319 instead of 0.005308
Craft 2117983 · The Chroma Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 18.46$ · invest 8.71$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005319 instead of 0.005308
Craft 2110709 · The Ascent Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 18.45$ · invest 8.71$
sells slowly

P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005409 instead of 0.005308
Craft 2127803 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 18.36$ · invest 8.84$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005319 instead of 0.005308
Craft 2127674 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 18.35$ · invest 9.08$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Off World (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005502 instead of 0.005308
Craft 2127441 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 18.32$ · invest 8.68$
sells slowly

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005475 instead of 0.005308
Craft 2127931 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 18.19$ · invest 8.85$
sells slowly pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New); XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): float at most 0.005475 instead of 0.005308

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build