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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Glove Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +396.23₴

Invest 1 300.18₴

Average return 1 696.41₴

ROI +30.5%

Chance of profit 46%

With float: invest at least 3 135.21 ₴, profit at most −1 438.80 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

180.55 ₴

at 180.55

souvenirSteam

×4

Galil AR | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1624

193.03 ₴

at 48.26

Steam

×5

MAG-7 | Sonar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

926.61 ₴

at 185.32

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 300.18 ₴ +396.23 (+30.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 366 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

412.97 ₴

at 137.66

souvenirSteam

×6

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

1 083.30 ₴

at 180.55

souvenirSteam

×1

MP7 | Cirrus

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1669

40.50 ₴

at 40.50

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 536.78 ₴ +83.65 (+5.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −854 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

137.66 ₴

at 137.66

souvenirSteam

×6

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

1 083.30 ₴

at 180.55

souvenirSteam

×3

Galil AR | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1666

144.77 ₴

at 48.26

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 365.73 ₴ +273.70 (+20.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 106 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

275.32 ₴

at 137.66

souvenirSteam

×6

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

1 083.30 ₴

at 180.55

souvenirSteam

×1

MP7 | Cirrus

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

40.50 ₴

at 40.50

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

48.26 ₴

at 48.26

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 447.38 ₴ +182.55 (+12.6%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 46%
Losing outcome 54%

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 080.87 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | Stinger

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

393.34 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Flashback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 154.00 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Nova | Gila

Factory New

float up to 0.020999

369.20 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.038499

1 811.59 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

AUG | Sand Storm

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

1 768.06 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

1 921.47 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

float up to 0.025899

1 868.18 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Glove Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Glove Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Horizon Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +64.68 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +200.42 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Glove Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 13 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2128749 · The Genesis Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 400.01₴ · invest 1 155.20₴
rare inputs

MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163010 instead of 0.162495; MAG-7 | Sonar (Factory New): float at most 0.003959 instead of 0.003802
Craft 2121446 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 399.31₴ · invest 1 156.43₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163010 instead of 0.162495; MAG-7 | Sonar (Factory New): float at most 0.003959 instead of 0.003802
Craft 2129550 · The Glove Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 397.14₴ · invest 1 239.78₴
rare inputs

P90 | Cocoa Rampage (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162675 instead of 0.162495; MAG-7 | Sonar (Factory New): float at most 0.003857 instead of 0.003802
Craft 2124795 · The Fever Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 394.84₴ · invest 1 150.65₴
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Resupply (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163010 instead of 0.162495; MAG-7 | Sonar (Factory New): float at most 0.003959 instead of 0.003802
Craft 2129501 · The Glove Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 393.24₴ · invest 1 148.58₴
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162675 instead of 0.162495; MAG-7 | Sonar (Factory New): float at most 0.003857 instead of 0.003802
Craft 2129811 · The Glove Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 389.56₴ · invest 1 151.45₴
rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162281 instead of 0.162495; MAG-7 | Sonar (Factory New): float at most 0.003737 instead of 0.003802
Craft 2109225 · The Arabesque Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 388.98₴ · invest 1 209.33₴
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163010 instead of 0.162495; MAG-7 | Sonar (Factory New): float at most 0.003959 instead of 0.003802
Craft 2129997 · The Glove Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 388.72₴ · invest 1 223.82₴
rare inputs

MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162514 instead of 0.162495; MAG-7 | Sonar (Factory New): float at most 0.003808 instead of 0.003802
Craft 2129978 · The Glove Collection + The Train Collection · profit 386.34₴ · invest 1 151.05₴
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162281 instead of 0.162495; MAG-7 | Sonar (Factory New): float at most 0.003737 instead of 0.003802
Craft 2129956 · The Glove Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 380.80₴ · invest 1 225.53₴
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Monarch (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163010 instead of 0.162495; MAG-7 | Sonar (Factory New): float at most 0.003959 instead of 0.003802
Craft 2129582 · The Glove Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 363.60₴ · invest 1 273.16₴
rare inputs

G3SG1 | Keeping Tabs (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162793 instead of 0.162495; MAG-7 | Sonar (Factory New): float at most 0.003893 instead of 0.003802
Craft 2130058 · The Glove Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 362.97₴ · invest 1 254.71₴
rare inputs pricier variants exist

XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162335 instead of 0.162495; MAG-7 | Sonar (Factory New): float at most 0.003754 instead of 0.003802
Craft 2129445 · The Glove Collection + The Graphic Design Collection · profit 362.15₴ · invest 1 240.54₴
rare inputs

XM1014 | Halftone Shift (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162675 instead of 0.162495; MAG-7 | Sonar (Factory New): float at most 0.003857 instead of 0.003802

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Glove Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build