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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Safehouse Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Average profit +310.46₽

Invest 549.68₽

Average return 860.14₽

ROI +56.5%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 1 331.86 ₽, profit at most −471.72 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

346.36 ₽

at 49.48

Steam

×2

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

189.40 ₽

at 94.70

souvenirSteam

×1

AUG | Condemned

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

13.92 ₽

at 13.92

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 549.68 ₽ +310.46 (+56.5%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

at a loss

M249 | Humidor

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

358.25 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

float up to 0.064166

665.62 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

float up to 0.057166

337.91 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.064166

3 003.96 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Teardown

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

74.72 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz

Factory New

float up to 0.046666

60.10 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

SSG 08 | Acid Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.003499

71.32 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Safehouse Collection

Variant 2 The Ancient Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 3 only The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 6 The Boreal Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +149.27 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +215.91 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Safehouse Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2103774 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Anubis Collection · profit 324.31₽ · invest 555.43₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir SSG 08 | Azure Glyph (Field-Tested) instead of AUG | Condemned (Minimal Wear); P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074051 instead of 0.075538; Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New): float at most 0.003545 instead of 0.004846
Craft 2104376 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 316.58₽ · invest 543.41₽
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested) instead of AUG | Condemned (Minimal Wear); P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075685 instead of 0.075538; Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New): float at most 0.004974 instead of 0.004846
Craft 2101388 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection · profit 313.61₽ · invest 549.95₽
rare inputs

Glock-18 | High Beam (Factory New) instead of AUG | Condemned (Minimal Wear); P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074199 instead of 0.075538; Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New): float at most 0.003674 instead of 0.004846
Craft 2104279 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 312.37₽ · invest 551.46₽
rare inputs

P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Minimal Wear) instead of AUG | Condemned (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2104465 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 312.17₽ · invest 546.91₽
rare inputs

SG 553 | Basket Halftone (Factory New) instead of AUG | Condemned (Minimal Wear); P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076182 instead of 0.075538; Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New): float at most 0.005409 instead of 0.004846
Craft 2103900 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 311.50₽ · invest 548.75₽
rare inputs

MAC-10 | Acid Hex (Factory New) instead of AUG | Condemned (Minimal Wear); P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076166 instead of 0.075538; Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New): float at most 0.005396 instead of 0.004846
Craft 2103834 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 309.92₽ · invest 550.25₽
rare inputs

XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo (Factory New) instead of AUG | Condemned (Minimal Wear); P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076182 instead of 0.075538; Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New): float at most 0.005409 instead of 0.004846
Craft 2103691 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The 2021 Vertigo Collection · profit 308.58₽ · invest 664.56₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Minimal Wear) instead of AUG | Condemned (Minimal Wear); P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074226 instead of 0.075538; Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New): float at most 0.003698 instead of 0.004846
Craft 2104077 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Dust 2 Collection · profit 307.93₽ · invest 552.85₽
rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Minimal Wear) instead of AUG | Condemned (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2104311 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Lake Collection · profit 303.53₽ · invest 556.41₽
rare inputs

FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Minimal Wear) instead of AUG | Condemned (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2104194 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Graphic Design Collection · profit 298.55₽ · invest 574.81₽
rare inputs

Galil AR | NV (Factory New) instead of AUG | Condemned (Minimal Wear); P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076060 instead of 0.075538; Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth (Factory New): float at most 0.005302 instead of 0.004846

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Safehouse Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build