Crafts · The Ancient Collection
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The Ancient Collection + The Falchion Collection

Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 2107523 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +5 835.47₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the needed wear, regardless of float. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase. 41 546.40₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 47 381.87₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +14.1%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 30%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 96 110.75₽ · profit at most −48 728.87₽ (−50.7%) · chance of profit at most 30%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.
Souvenir P90 | Run and Hide (Field-Tested) × 3 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 29 038.71 → 65 627.48 ₽
SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) × 2 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 1 579.74 → 3 491.23 ₽
MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) × 5 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.47 10 927.95 → 26 992.04 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat, outcomes: 1. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float. They account for 30.0% of the probability. Money from the marketplace can be withdrawn, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is −30 789.66 ₽.
+ a third collection

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×3
Souvenir P90 | Run and Hide
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1630
29 038.71 ₽
at 9 679.57
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163015f′ (normalized) 0.163015wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 12 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new listings per day: fewer than one
×2
SG 553 | Cyrex
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0745
1 579.74 ₽
at 789.87
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074527f′ (normalized) 0.074527wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 48 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new listings per day: fewer than one
×5
MP7 | Nemesis
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0039
10 927.95 ₽
at 2 185.59
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003961f′ (normalized) 0.012379wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 122 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new listings per day: fewer than one · among lots up to 4 462.49 ₽
Set · 10 pcs 41 546.40 ₽ +5 835.47 (+14.1%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 all outcomes come out up to 0.069999 «No higher than» is a guarantee. Take every item with the float at the upper limit and you get exactly the result shown.

What you get 3 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 30%
  • Losing outcome 70%
at a loss
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
20 376.84 ₽ 35.00%
Steam AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New)net 17 718.99 ₽The Falchion Collection sells 5 a week sell now to a buy order: 19 940.97 ₽ (you get 17 339.97 ₽)) · buy orders: 1259 sell on Market.CSGO: 16 406.87 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 17 989.99 · lots 18 on CSFloat: from 15 197.18 ₽ listings: 141 on CS.Money: ~ 16 402.77 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 16 450.31 ₽ listings: 90
at a loss
worst
AWP | Hyper Beast
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
14 966.72 ₽ 35.00%
price without deals
Steam AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New)net 13 014.54 ₽The Falchion Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 14 812.19 ₽ (you get 12 880.16 ₽)) · buy orders: 1200 sell on Market.CSGO: 12 352.64 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 13 544.57 · lots 40 on CSFloat: from 11 269.69 ₽ listings: 108 on CS.Money: ~ 12 409.90 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 12 551.68 ₽ listings: 104
in profit
best
M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
124 575.30 ₽ 30.00%
sell on CSFloat
Steam M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New)net 122 083.79 ₽ no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 124 575.30 ₽ listings 21 · you get 122 083.79 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 178 992.57 ₽ (you get 155 645.71 ₽)) · buy orders: 302 Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price on CSFloat: from 124 575.30 ₽ listings: 21 on CS.Money: ~ 147 568.89 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 133 506.83 ₽ listings: 23

Craft variants Craft variants One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one The Ancient Collection + The Falchion Collection
Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Gamma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Fracture Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
Chains Pretty floats Interesting Cases Favorites From inventory Proven in practice How crafts work