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The Ancient Collection + The Gamma Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +137.03$

Invest 548.46$

Average return 685.49$

ROI +25.0%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 1 310.51 $, profit at most −625.02 $

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −438.15 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

5% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Souvenir P90 | Run and Hide

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1624

456.04 $

at 114.01

souvenirSteam

×6

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

92.42 $

at 15.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 548.46 $ +137.03 (+25.0%)

11% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir P90 | Run and Hide

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1748

228.02 $

at 114.01

souvenirSteam

×2

P2000 | Imperial Dragon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0786

28.50 $

at 14.25

Steam

×6

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

92.42 $

at 15.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 348.94 $ +85.73 (+24.6%)

9% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir P90 | Run and Hide

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1696

228.02 $

at 114.01

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir P90 | Run and Hide

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

636.04 $

at 159.01

souvenirSteam

×4

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

61.61 $

at 15.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 925.67 $ +10.64 (+1.1%)

8% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir P90 | Run and Hide

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1682

342.03 $

at 114.01

souvenirSteam

×1

P2000 | Imperial Dragon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

14.25 $

at 14.25

Steam

×6

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

92.42 $

at 15.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 448.70 $ +111.38 (+24.8%)

7% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir P90 | Run and Hide

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4897

110.00 $

at 110.00

souvenirSteam

×1

P2000 | Imperial Dragon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

14.25 $

at 14.25

Steam

×8

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

123.22 $

at 15.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 247.48 $ +61.78 (+25.0%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 467.31 $ 40.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

worst

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel

Factory New

float up to 0.037799

162.30 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Mecha Industries

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

260.55 $ 30.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Ancient Collection + The Gamma Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Gamma Collection Variant 3 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 5 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Gamma Collection Variant 6 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Gamma Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +120.29 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +133.35 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Ancient Collection and The Gamma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2107718 · The Ancient Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 119.47$ · invest 507.79$
marketplace price rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New); Souvenir P90 | Run and Hide (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164868 instead of 0.162409
Craft 2107551 · The Ancient Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 117.64$ · invest 495.72$
marketplace price rare inputs

XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New); Souvenir P90 | Run and Hide (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.162409
Craft 2107406 · The Ancient Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 117.23$ · invest 583.90$
profit on prices without salesat least −9 $ marketplace price rare inputs

UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New); Souvenir P90 | Run and Hide (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165694 instead of 0.162409
Craft 2107433 · The Ancient Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 112.52$ · invest 513.12$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New); Souvenir P90 | Run and Hide (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164495 instead of 0.162409
Craft 2107918 · The Ancient Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 110.86$ · invest 515.90$
marketplace price rare inputs

P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New); Souvenir P90 | Run and Hide (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165131 instead of 0.162409
Craft 2107356 · The Ancient Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit 109.66$ · invest 524.93$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New); Souvenir P90 | Run and Hide (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161675 instead of 0.162409
Craft 2107477 · The Ancient Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 105.76$ · invest 590.08$
profit on prices without salesat least −15 $ marketplace price rare inputs

P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New); Souvenir P90 | Run and Hide (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167164 instead of 0.162409
Craft 2107934 · The Ancient Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 104.17$ · invest 523.87$
marketplace price rare inputs

AWP | Duality (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New); Souvenir P90 | Run and Hide (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165916 instead of 0.162409

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Ancient Collection + The Gamma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

More

How to build