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The Ancient Collection + The Havoc Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +108.03₽

Invest 246.81₽

Average return 354.84₽

ROI +43.8%

Chance of profit 78%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 582.28₽ · profit at most −227.44₽ (−39.1%) · chance of profit at most 5%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) × 5 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.47 93.10 → 229.96 ₽

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New) × 4 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 99.08 → 234.32 ₽

M249 | Predator (Field-Tested) × 1 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 54.63 → 118.00 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −14 ₽

+ a third collection

How to build

7% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 7% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×5

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

93.10 ₽

at 18.62

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

99.08 ₽

at 24.77

souvenirSteam

×1

M249 | Predator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

54.63 ₽

at 54.63

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 246.81 ₽ +108.03 (+43.8%)

profit on prices without sales at least −243 ₽

7% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 7% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×3

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

74.31 ₽

at 24.77

souvenirSteam

×6

M249 | Predator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

327.78 ₽

at 54.63

Steam

×1

PP-Bizon | Death Rattle

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0849

98.90 ₽

at 98.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 500.99 ₽ +23.46 (+4.7%)

profit on prices without sales at least −46 ₽

7% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 7% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×4

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

74.48 ₽

at 18.62

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

99.08 ₽

at 24.77

souvenirSteam

×2

M249 | Predator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

109.26 ₽

at 54.63

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 282.82 ₽ +100.29 (+35.5%)

profit on prices without sales at least −78 ₽

7% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 7% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×3

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

55.86 ₽

at 18.62

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

99.08 ₽

at 24.77

souvenirSteam

×3

M249 | Predator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

163.89 ₽

at 54.63

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 318.83 ₽ +92.55 (+29.0%)

profit on prices without sales at least −109 ₽

7% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 7% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×2

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

37.24 ₽

at 18.62

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

99.08 ₽

at 24.77

souvenirSteam

×4

M249 | Predator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

218.52 ₽

at 54.63

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 354.84 ₽ +84.81 (+23.9%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 78%
Losing outcome 22%

at a loss

worst

CZ75-Auto | Silver

Factory New

float up to 0.007368

178.30 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

452.00 ₽ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Panther Camo

Factory New

float up to 0.046052

434.69 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Tall Grass

Factory New

float up to 0.059868

437.24 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Vault Heist

Factory New

float up to 0.055263

949.99 ₽ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Nova | Rust Coat

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.073684

606.00 ₽ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

R8 Revolver | Phoenix Marker

Factory New

float up to 0.055263

716.59 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

UMP-45 | Houndstooth

Factory New

float up to 0.055263

530.00 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Ancient Collection + The Havoc Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Havoc Collection Variant 3 The Rising Sun Collection instead of The Havoc Collection Variant 4 only The Ancient Collection Variant 5 The Overpass Collection instead of The Havoc Collection Variant 6 The Anubis Collection instead of The Havoc Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +26.22 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +71.20 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Ancient Collection and The Havoc Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2107821 · The Ancient Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 112.74₽ · invest 207.58₽
sells slowly

Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Predator (Field-Tested)
Craft 2107652 · The Ancient Collection + The Havoc Collection · profit 111.74₽ · invest 246.81₽
profit on prices without salesat least −14 ₽ rare inputs

Nova | Rust Coat: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161940 instead of 0.165725; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.003634 instead of 0.004786; M249 | Predator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161940 instead of 0.165725
Craft 2102853 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 108.58₽ · invest 202.20₽
sells slowly

Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Minimal Wear) instead of M249 | Predator (Field-Tested); Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165025 instead of 0.165725; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004572 instead of 0.004786
Craft 2105133 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 108.38₽ · invest 221.47₽
profit on prices without salesat least −1 ₽ rare inputs

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Minimal Wear) instead of M249 | Predator (Field-Tested); Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165025 instead of 0.165725; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004572 instead of 0.004786
Craft 2107191 · The Ancient Collection + The Anubis Collection · profit 106.37₽ · invest 195.88₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir M249 | Submerged (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Predator (Field-Tested); Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162092 instead of 0.165725; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.003680 instead of 0.004786

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Ancient Collection + The Havoc Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build