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The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +9 151.39₸

Invest 22 710.83₸

Average return 31 862.22₸

ROI +40.3%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 52 789.21 ₸, profit at most −20 926.99 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×1

Nova | Graphite

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

4 025.01 ₸

at 4 025.01

Steam

×6

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

7 460.99 ₸

at 1 243.50

Steam

×3

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

11 224.83 ₸

at 3 741.61

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 22 710.83 ₸ +9 151.39 (+40.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −387 ₸

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Nova | Graphite

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

8 050.02 ₸

at 4 025.01

Steam

×5

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1689

6 217.49 ₸

at 1 243.50

Steam

×3

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

11 224.83 ₸

at 3 741.61

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 25 492.34 ₸ +6 850.46 (+26.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 809 ₸

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Nova | Graphite

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

12 075.03 ₸

at 4 025.01

Steam

×5

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

6 217.49 ₸

at 1 243.50

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

7 483.22 ₸

at 3 741.61

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 25 775.74 ₸ +7 047.64 (+27.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −7 230 ₸

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Nova | Graphite

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

16 100.04 ₸

at 4 025.01

Steam

×5

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

6 217.49 ₸

at 1 243.50

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

3 741.61 ₸

at 3 741.61

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 26 059.14 ₸ +7 244.77 (+27.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 45%
About break-even 5%

in profit

M4A4 | Hellish

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

51 756.58 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP9 | Latte Rush

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

20 421.28 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

P90 | Cold Blooded

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

24 889.25 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Serum

Factory New

float up to 0.017499

58 341.60 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection Variant 4 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3 259.64 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +6 319.37 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arms Deal 2 Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2107017 · The Achroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 8 941.72₸ · invest 21 279.50₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165455 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004703 instead of 0.003736
Craft 2118526 · The Chroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 8 909.36₸ · invest 21 179.12₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165131 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004605 instead of 0.003736
Craft 2135861 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 8 744.80₸ · invest 20 310.75₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165707 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004780 instead of 0.003736
Craft 2134938 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 8 695.93₸ · invest 22 032.21₸
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165510 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004720 instead of 0.003736
Craft 2139209 · The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 8 682.08₸ · invest 20 554.70₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163732 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004179 instead of 0.003736
Craft 2123628 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 8 624.35₸ · invest 19 754.85₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P2000 | Amber Fade (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164858 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004522 instead of 0.003736
Craft 2137616 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 8 622.19₸ · invest 20 985.73₸
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165707 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004780 instead of 0.003736
Craft 2117650 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 8 600.57₸ · invest 20 475.86₸
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165707 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004780 instead of 0.003736
Craft 2111160 · The Ascent Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 8 401.34₸ · invest 21 144.59₸
sells slowly rare inputs

USP-S | Royal Guard (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165318 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004662 instead of 0.003736

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build