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The Ascent Collection + The Falchion Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +2.52$

Invest 6.88$

Average return 9.40$

ROI +36.7%

Chance of profit 59%

With float: invest at least 17.87 $, profit at most −8.47 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P2000 | Royal Baroque

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

0.46 $

at 0.46

Steam

×9

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

6.42 $

at 0.71

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.88 $ +2.52 (+36.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P2000 | Royal Baroque

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

0.46 $

at 0.46

Steam

×1

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

0.88 $

at 0.88

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

5.70 $

at 0.71

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7.04 $ +2.32 (+33.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P2000 | Royal Baroque

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

0.46 $

at 0.46

Steam

×2

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

1.75 $

at 0.88

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

4.99 $

at 0.71

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7.21 $ +2.12 (+29.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P2000 | Royal Baroque

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

0.46 $

at 0.46

Steam

×3

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

2.63 $

at 0.88

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

4.28 $

at 0.71

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7.37 $ +1.92 (+26.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P2000 | Royal Baroque

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

0.46 $

at 0.46

Steam

×4

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

3.51 $

at 0.88

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

3.56 $

at 0.71

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7.53 $ +1.73 (+22.9%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 59%
Losing outcome 41%

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.011764

6.15 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

18.63 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.010196

9.08 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.009803

5.10 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Negev | Loudmouth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

15.30 $ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Midnight Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.014705

15.72 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Royal Guard

Factory New

float up to 0.011764

5.17 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Ascent Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.98 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.11 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Ascent Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2123938 · The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 2.57$ · invest 6.94$
profit on prices without salesat least −0 $

AUG | Amber Slipstream (Minimal Wear) instead of P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.004606 instead of 0.005379
Craft 2117882 · The Chroma Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 2.45$ · invest 6.96$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Minimal Wear) instead of P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.003703 instead of 0.005379
Craft 2124105 · The Falchion Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 2.42$ · invest 6.77$
sells slowly

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear) instead of P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.003703 instead of 0.005379
Craft 2124212 · The Falchion Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 2.39$ · invest 6.84$
profit on prices without salesat least −0 $

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Minimal Wear) instead of P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.003703 instead of 0.005379
Craft 2124511 · The Falchion Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 2.38$ · invest 7.12$
profit on prices without salesat least −0 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear) instead of P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.007111 instead of 0.005379
Craft 2123929 · The Falchion Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 2.38$ · invest 6.87$
profit on prices without salesat least −0 $

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear) instead of P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.006630 instead of 0.005379
Craft 2106566 · The Achroma Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 2.35$ · invest 6.77$
profit on prices without salesat least −0 $

P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear) instead of P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.006047 instead of 0.005379

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Ascent Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build