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The Ascent Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +18.51$

Invest 46.59$

Average return 65.11$

ROI +39.7%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 108.87 $, profit at most −43.76 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×1

USP-S | Royal Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

5.42 $

at 5.42

Steam

×6

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

16.44 $

at 2.74

Steam

×3

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

24.73 $

at 8.24

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 46.59 $ +18.51 (+39.7%)

≈1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×2

USP-S | Royal Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

10.84 $

at 5.42

Steam

×6

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

16.44 $

at 2.74

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

16.49 $

at 8.24

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 43.77 $ +17.29 (+39.5%)

≈1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×3

USP-S | Royal Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

16.25 $

at 5.42

Steam

×6

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1650

16.44 $

at 2.74

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

8.24 $

at 8.24

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 40.94 $ +16.08 (+39.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

USP-S | Royal Guard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

3.08 $

at 3.08

Steam

×4

USP-S | Royal Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

21.67 $

at 5.42

Steam

×5

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

13.70 $

at 2.74

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 38.45 $ +10.47 (+27.2%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

M4A4 | Hellish

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

114.05 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Latte Rush

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

45.00 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M4A1-S | Stratosphere

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

33.00 $ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Ascent Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The Chroma 2 Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 5 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Ascent Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +6.39 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +12.62 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Ascent Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2109911 · The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 20.17$ · invest 50.05$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Graphite (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Royal Guard (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162278 instead of 0.165318; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.003736 instead of 0.004662
Craft 2107017 · The Achroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 19.70$ · invest 46.89$
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Royal Guard (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165455 instead of 0.165318; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004703 instead of 0.004662
Craft 2118526 · The Chroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 19.63$ · invest 46.67$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Royal Guard (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165131 instead of 0.165318; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004605 instead of 0.004662
Craft 2135861 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 19.27$ · invest 44.76$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Royal Guard (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165707 instead of 0.165318; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004780 instead of 0.004662
Craft 2134938 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 19.16$ · invest 48.55$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Royal Guard (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165510 instead of 0.165318; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004720 instead of 0.004662
Craft 2139209 · The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 19.13$ · invest 45.29$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) instead of USP-S | Royal Guard (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163732 instead of 0.165318; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004179 instead of 0.004662
Craft 2123628 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 19.00$ · invest 43.53$
sells slowly rare inputs

P2000 | Amber Fade (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Royal Guard (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164858 instead of 0.165318; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004522 instead of 0.004662
Craft 2137616 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 19.00$ · invest 46.24$
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Royal Guard (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165707 instead of 0.165318; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004780 instead of 0.004662
Craft 2117650 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 18.95$ · invest 45.12$
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Royal Guard (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165707 instead of 0.165318; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004780 instead of 0.004662

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Ascent Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

More

How to build