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The Boreal Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +981.68₽

Invest 1 240.94₽

Average return 2 222.62₽

ROI +79.1%

Chance of profit 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 3 173.24₽ · profit at most −950.62₽ (−30.0%) · chance of profit at most 22%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 31.48 → 68.00 ₽

G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 63.38 → 136.90 ₽

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) × 8 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.59 1 146.08 → 2 968.35 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −560 ₽

+ a third collection

How to build

5% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 5% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

XM1014 | Copperflage

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

31.48 ₽

at 31.48

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Murky

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

63.38 ₽

at 63.38

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

1 146.08 ₽

at 143.26

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 240.94 ₽ +981.68 (+79.1%)

profit on prices without sales at least −146 ₽

9% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 9% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×6

XM1014 | Copperflage

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

188.88 ₽

at 31.48

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1710

140.00 ₽

at 70.00

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

286.52 ₽

at 143.26

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 615.40 ₽ +539.80 (+87.7%)

9% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 9% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×3

MP5-SD | Gold Leaf

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

45.81 ₽

at 15.27

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Copperflage

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

188.88 ₽

at 31.48

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1697

70.00 ₽

at 70.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 304.69 ₽ +210.06 (+68.9%)

profit on prices without sales at least −215 ₽

7% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 7% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×5

XM1014 | Copperflage

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

157.40 ₽

at 31.48

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1664

140.00 ₽

at 70.00

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

429.78 ₽

at 143.26

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 727.18 ₽ +641.50 (+88.2%)

profit on prices without sales at least −411 ₽

7% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 7% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

MP5-SD | Gold Leaf

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

15.27 ₽

at 15.27

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Copperflage

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

62.96 ₽

at 31.48

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1650

70.00 ₽

at 70.00

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

859.56 ₽

at 143.26

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 007.79 ₽ +787.86 (+78.2%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.036099

761.59 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

7 292.16 ₽ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.047599

2 563.33 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

589.00 ₽ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Glock-18 | Glockingbird

Factory New

float up to 0.046899

263.61 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Sheet Lightning

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

429.30 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Boreal Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Cache Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +502.74 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +721.32 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Boreal Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 29 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2134952 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 989.80₽ · invest 1 262.18₽
profit on prices without salesat least −552 ₽ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074323 instead of 0.074361; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074323 instead of 0.074361
Craft 2118534 · The Chroma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 986.76₽ · invest 1 284.12₽
profit on prices without salesat least −555 ₽ rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074323 instead of 0.074361; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074323 instead of 0.074361
Craft 2111173 · The Ascent Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 985.67₽ · invest 1 283.93₽
profit on prices without salesat least −556 ₽ rare inputs

P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New)
Craft 2117658 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 985.13₽ · invest 1 257.55₽
profit on prices without salesat least −557 ₽ rare inputs

G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074332 instead of 0.074361; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074332 instead of 0.074361
Craft 2136625 · The Radiant Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 982.86₽ · invest 1 271.74₽
profit on prices without salesat least −559 ₽ rare inputs

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074323 instead of 0.074361; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074323 instead of 0.074361
Craft 2124522 · The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 981.68₽ · invest 1 269.99₽
profit on prices without salesat least −560 ₽ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074389 instead of 0.074361; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074389 instead of 0.074361
Craft 2128648 · The Gamma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 980.35₽ · invest 1 255.36₽
profit on prices without salesat least −568 ₽ rare inputs

SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New)
Craft 2130895 · The Harlequin Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 975.23₽ · invest 1 281.58₽
profit on prices without salesat least −567 ₽ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074389 instead of 0.074361; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074389 instead of 0.074361
Craft 2107024 · The Achroma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 971.78₽ · invest 1 273.93₽
profit on prices without salesat least −570 ₽ rare inputs

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074376 instead of 0.074361; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074376 instead of 0.074361
Craft 2138866 · The Spectrum Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 970.63₽ · invest 1 253.40₽
profit on prices without salesat least −575 ₽ rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074323 instead of 0.074361; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074323 instead of 0.074361
Craft 2138720 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 969.99₽ · invest 1 244.37₽
profit on prices without salesat least −572 ₽ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074323 instead of 0.074361; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074323 instead of 0.074361
Craft 2113896 · The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 969.74₽ · invest 1 255.66₽
profit on prices without salesat least −587 ₽ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074267 instead of 0.074361; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074267 instead of 0.074361
Craft 2139164 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 962.91₽ · invest 1 232.88₽
profit on prices without salesat least −512 ₽ rare inputs

FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074143 instead of 0.074361; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074143 instead of 0.074361
Craft 2104705 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 960.58₽ · invest 1 469.45₽
profit on prices without salesat least −819 ₽ rare inputs

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075743 instead of 0.074361; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075743 instead of 0.074361
Craft 2138143 · The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 953.98₽ · invest 1 243.33₽
profit on prices without salesat least −521 ₽ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074093 instead of 0.074361; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074093 instead of 0.074361
Craft 2133862 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 946.05₽ · invest 1 285.09₽
profit on prices without salesat least −560 ₽ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Vendetta (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074908 instead of 0.074361; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074908 instead of 0.074361
Craft 2132232 · The Italy Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 940.63₽ · invest 1 264.13₽
profit on prices without salesat least −601 ₽ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New)
Craft 2139223 · The Vanguard Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 938.88₽ · invest 1 276.11₽
profit on prices without salesat least −536 ₽ rare inputs

Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074908 instead of 0.074361; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074908 instead of 0.074361
Craft 2131982 · The Huntsman Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 936.94₽ · invest 1 334.23₽
profit on prices without salesat least −605 ₽ rare inputs

SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074002 instead of 0.074361; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074002 instead of 0.074361
Craft 2109608 · The Arabesque Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 934.00₽ · invest 1 248.49₽
profit on prices without salesat least −541 ₽ rare inputs

FAMAS | Snake Song (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074908 instead of 0.074361; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074908 instead of 0.074361
Craft 2139079 · The Spy Tech Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 933.99₽ · invest 1 246.96₽
profit on prices without salesat least −541 ₽ rare inputs

AUG | Signal Scanner (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074908 instead of 0.074361; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074908 instead of 0.074361
Craft 2137957 · The Safehouse Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 933.69₽ · invest 1 269.56₽
profit on prices without salesat least −608 ₽ rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074267 instead of 0.074361; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074267 instead of 0.074361
Craft 2139215 · The Train Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 927.61₽ · invest 1 268.80₽
profit on prices without salesat least −614 ₽ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074267 instead of 0.074361; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074267 instead of 0.074361
Craft 2123637 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 920.67₽ · invest 1 222.45₽
profit on prices without salesat least −555 ₽ rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Brass (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074908 instead of 0.074361; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074908 instead of 0.074361
Craft 2136266 · The Prisma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 919.92₽ · invest 1 238.75₽
profit on prices without salesat least −555 ₽ rare inputs

MAC-10 | Whitefish (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074908 instead of 0.074361; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074908 instead of 0.074361
Craft 2108925 · The Anubis Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 917.21₽ · invest 1 315.88₽
profit on prices without salesat least −624 ₽ rare inputs

Souvenir MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074908 instead of 0.074361; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074908 instead of 0.074361
Craft 2119624 · The Clutch Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 913.13₽ · invest 1 229.96₽
profit on prices without salesat least −562 ₽ rare inputs

MP9 | Black Sand (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074143 instead of 0.074361; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074143 instead of 0.074361
Craft 2121059 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 913.06₽ · invest 1 237.78₽
profit on prices without salesat least −571 ₽ rare inputs

SG 553 | Danger Close (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074801 instead of 0.074361; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074801 instead of 0.074361
Craft 2138372 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 890.85₽ · invest 1 282.68₽
profit on prices without salesat least −584 ₽ rare inputs

M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074191 instead of 0.074361; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074191 instead of 0.074361

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Boreal Collection + The Vanguard Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build