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The Breakout Collection + The Falchion Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +33 694.11₸

Invest 49 667.09₸

Average return 83 361.20₸

ROI +67.8%

Chance of profit 100%

With float: invest at least 125 139.93 ₸, profit at most −41 778.74 ₸

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 543 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

11 669.16 ₸

at 11 669.16

Steam

×9

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

37 997.93 ₸

at 4 221.99

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 49 667.09 ₸ +33 694.11 (+67.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −18 765 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

35 007.47 ₸

at 11 669.16

Steam

×1

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1712

2 087.29 ₸

at 2 087.29

Steam

×6

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

25 331.96 ₸

at 4 221.99

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 62 426.71 ₸ +23 380.81 (+37.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −11 944 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

11 392.12 ₸

at 11 392.12

Steam

×1

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

11 669.16 ₸

at 11 669.16

Steam

×8

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

33 775.94 ₸

at 4 221.99

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 56 837.21 ₸ +27 747.17 (+48.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −25 309 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

46 676.62 ₸

at 11 669.16

Steam

×2

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

4 174.58 ₸

at 2 087.29

Steam

×4

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

16 887.97 ₸

at 4 221.99

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 67 739.18 ₸ +19 291.53 (+28.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −47 989 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Glock-18 | Water Elemental

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

10 448.64 ₸

at 10 448.64

Steam

×6

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

70 014.94 ₸

at 11 669.16

Steam

×3

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1656

6 261.87 ₸

at 2 087.29

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 86 725.45 ₸ +3 974.78 (+4.6%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

108 917.76 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

worst

AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

79 999.72 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

80 598.92 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P90 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.064399

136 451.49 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Gamma Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 3 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Fracture Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The Recoil Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Revolution Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +25 397.65 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +31 590.89 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2124171 · The Falchion Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 34 195.60₸ · invest 45 748.44₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Justice (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2122248 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 34 116.11₸ · invest 45 407.31₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2123728 · The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 33 818.57₸ · invest 45 252.72₸
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2124574 · The Falchion Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 33 606.32₸ · invest 51 469.11₸
profit on prices without salesat least −8 849 ₸ rare inputs

Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2124481 · The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 33 060.30₸ · invest 46 788.87₸
sells slowly rare inputs

AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076609 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2120123 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 32 694.17₸ · invest 43 508.91₸
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2124414 · The Falchion Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 32 648.16₸ · invest 45 340.01₸
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077019 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2123825 · The Falchion Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 32 435.37₸ · invest 50 188.78₸
profit on prices without salesat least −2 166 ₸ rare inputs

MP9 | Airlock (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2123797 · The Falchion Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 32 135.89₸ · invest 47 595.89₸
profit on prices without salesat least −2 005 ₸ rare inputs

P250 | Epicenter (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076934 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2124449 · The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 31 963.49₸ · invest 50 264.41₸
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | High Roller (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2117902 · The Chroma Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 31 582.79₸ · invest 47 978.71₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Muertos (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.075874

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build