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The Breakout Collection + The Falchion Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +69.39$

Invest 201.61$

Average return 271.00$

ROI +34.4%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 515.20 $, profit at most −244.20 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

32.00 $

at 32.00

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

169.61 $

at 18.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 201.61 $ +69.39 (+34.4%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

25.42 $

at 25.42

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

32.00 $

at 32.00

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

150.76 $

at 18.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 208.18 $ +66.40 (+31.9%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

50.83 $

at 25.42

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

32.00 $

at 32.00

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

131.92 $

at 18.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 214.75 $ +63.40 (+29.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −17 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

76.25 $

at 25.42

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

32.00 $

at 32.00

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

113.07 $

at 18.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 221.32 $ +60.41 (+27.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −129 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

203.32 $

at 25.42

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

32.00 $

at 32.00

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

18.85 $

at 18.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 254.17 $ +45.43 (+17.9%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 45%

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

386.13 $ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

worst

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

228.96 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

251.84 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.064399

445.47 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Recoil Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +19.32 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +45.31 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2118777 · The Clutch Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 68.36$ · invest 183.12$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076737 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2124147 · The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 67.80$ · invest 191.84$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Antique (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New)
Craft 2124483 · The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 66.05$ · invest 202.61$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076627 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2124023 · The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 65.46$ · invest 194.62$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076792 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2123913 · The Falchion Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 64.96$ · invest 198.36$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2123857 · The Falchion Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 63.10$ · invest 196.96$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076737 instead of 0.075874

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build