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The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +145.83$

Invest 422.25$

Average return 568.08$

ROI +34.5%

Chance of profit 80%

With float: invest at least 1 069.30 $, profit at most −501.22 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −400 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

64.01 $

at 32.00

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

358.24 $

at 44.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 422.25 $ +145.83 (+34.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −187 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

76.25 $

at 25.42

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

160.02 $

at 32.00

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1687

38.02 $

at 19.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 274.29 $ +95.12 (+34.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −169 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

152.49 $

at 25.42

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

96.01 $

at 32.00

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1681

19.01 $

at 19.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 267.51 $ +68.78 (+25.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −464 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

32.00 $

at 32.00

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

358.24 $

at 44.78

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

85.07 $

at 85.07

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 475.31 $ +125.88 (+26.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −278 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

160.02 $

at 32.00

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

38.02 $

at 19.01

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

134.34 $

at 44.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 332.38 $ +136.36 (+41.0%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 80%
Losing outcome 20%

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

577.57 $ 40.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

881.34 $ 40.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

251.84 $ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.064399

445.47 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Falchion Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +104.16 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +137.07 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2114788 · The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 184.43$ · invest 199.33$
profit on prices without salesat least −176 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New), StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 8; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075131 instead of 0.075282
Craft 2136794 · The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 158.97$ · invest 332.71$
profit on prices without salesat least −326 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New), StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 8; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074897 instead of 0.075282
Craft 2117509 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 155.52$ · invest 366.21$
profit on prices without salesat least −345 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New), StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 8; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075282
Craft 2126130 · The Fracture Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 155.45$ · invest 324.28$
profit on prices without salesat least −315 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New), StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 8; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074411 instead of 0.075282
Craft 2119470 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 148.17$ · invest 328.21$
profit on prices without salesat least −319 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New), StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 8; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074752 instead of 0.075282
Craft 2135334 · The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 142.66$ · invest 402.70$
profit on prices without salesat least −403 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Antique (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New)
Craft 2124369 · The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 142.04$ · invest 418.89$
profit on prices without salesat least −365 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075417 instead of 0.075282
Craft 2138095 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 141.26$ · invest 386.70$
profit on prices without salesat least −329 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 8; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074582 instead of 0.075282
Craft 2127833 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 141.04$ · invest 375.80$
profit on prices without salesat least −340 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Factory New), StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 8; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075072 instead of 0.075282
Craft 2137162 · The Revolution Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 140.92$ · invest 348.58$
profit on prices without salesat least −320 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Factory New), StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 8; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075339 instead of 0.075282
Craft 2132633 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 139.48$ · invest 362.72$
profit on prices without salesat least −328 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New), StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 8; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074838 instead of 0.075282

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build