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The Breakout Collection + The Wildfire Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +205.11$

Invest 448.77$

Average return 653.88$

ROI +45.7%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 1 165.22 $, profit at most −511.34 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −438 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

32.00 $

at 32.00

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

416.77 $

at 46.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 448.77 $ +205.11 (+45.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −367 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

96.01 $

at 32.00

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1712

26.15 $

at 26.15

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

277.84 $

at 46.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 400.01 $ +175.94 (+44.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −176 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

152.49 $

at 25.42

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

96.01 $

at 32.00

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1712

26.15 $

at 26.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 274.65 $ +67.49 (+24.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −406 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

25.42 $

at 25.42

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

32.00 $

at 32.00

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

370.46 $

at 46.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 427.88 $ +187.04 (+43.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −322 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

128.02 $

at 32.00

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

52.30 $

at 26.15

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

185.23 $

at 46.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 365.54 $ +171.44 (+46.9%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 484.09 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

float up to 0.044799

109.47 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

251.84 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.064399

445.47 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Falchion Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Revolution Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +106.77 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +200.81 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 23 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2122150 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 208.55$ · invest 452.02$
profit on prices without salesat least −452 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2137021 · The Recoil Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 207.68$ · invest 431.77$
profit on prices without salesat least −430 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2117701 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 206.53$ · invest 442.94$
profit on prices without salesat least −436 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076905 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2126329 · The Fracture Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 206.51$ · invest 428.96$
profit on prices without salesat least −426 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2119671 · The Clutch Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 204.08$ · invest 430.27$
profit on prices without salesat least −427 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076737 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2135511 · The Phoenix Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 203.53$ · invest 439.00$
profit on prices without salesat least −439 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Antique (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New)
Craft 2124575 · The Falchion Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 203.22$ · invest 447.09$
profit on prices without salesat least −420 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075965 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2138917 · The Spectrum Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 201.77$ · invest 449.77$
profit on prices without salesat least −430 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076627 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2128007 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 201.70$ · invest 446.13$
profit on prices without salesat least −434 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076934 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2137383 · The Revolution Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 201.66$ · invest 437.06$
profit on prices without salesat least −427 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2132851 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 201.18$ · invest 441.78$
profit on prices without salesat least −430 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076792 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2130012 · The Glove Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 200.69$ · invest 445.52$
profit on prices without salesat least −436 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2125479 · The Fever Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 200.50$ · invest 449.16$
profit on prices without salesat least −449 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2123289 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 199.73$ · invest 436.51$
profit on prices without salesat least −431 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2128686 · The Gamma Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 198.82$ · invest 444.12$
profit on prices without salesat least −444 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076737 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2121114 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 197.76$ · invest 435.18$
profit on prices without salesat least −426 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2131541 · The Horizon Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 197.04$ · invest 456.77$
profit on prices without salesat least −448 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076934 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2135903 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 196.85$ · invest 448.39$
profit on prices without salesat least −448 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076765 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2127272 · The Gallery Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 194.17$ · invest 453.71$
profit on prices without salesat least −454 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076934 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2116653 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 191.95$ · invest 463.48$
profit on prices without salesat least −456 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2138761 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 191.04$ · invest 458.63$
profit on prices without salesat least −440 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2138592 · The Snakebite Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 189.69$ · invest 455.95$
profit on prices without salesat least −456 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077019 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2118564 · The Chroma Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 189.64$ · invest 459.61$
profit on prices without salesat least −460 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.075874

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build